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CAITLIN GARRABRANT KATERINA MAMAY The Effect of Debt Forgiveness on Transparency Prof. VreelandOctober 14, 2014
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Research Question and Hypothesis Debt forgiveness Transparency
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What is Transparency? HRV Index- How is it measured? Conditionality and Debt Forgiveness Robin Theobald and Conditionality in Africa
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Literature Review Eric Neumayer’s research Nicholas Chauvin and Aart Kraay How is our research different?
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Data 125 countries (1980-2010) Observations: 2103 Debt forgiveness mean: - 419.53 million constant 2005 United States dollars -WDI Transparency mean: - 1.18 (HRV index)
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Method Control Variables: -Political Regime -GDP per capita -Country and year fixed effects Controlling for total central government debt
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Regression Results Very slight positive correlation between debt forgiveness and transparency. Statistical significance at different income thresholds Correlations of control variables
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Before, During, and After Variables
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Case Studies Benin: - HIPC 1998-2003 Zambia - HIPC 2000-2004 *Both countries increased transparency before and during participation in the HIPC Initiative. *Transparency levels dropped after completion.
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So What?
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Implications Does reform last? Are debt relief programs effective policy tools?
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Thank you
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