1. Caucasian Habitat (Diversity and Conflicts)

2. 2 nd Theme: Caucasian diversity and conflicts Theories of security – levels and sectors of analysis Caucasus sub or mini-complex? Caucasian dynamics: North and South Sources: Buzan and Waever: Regions and Power, Structure of international Security; Howard: Volatile Borderland, Russian and the North Caucasus; The South Caucasus 2018

3. RSC – useful also for area specialists Incorporates neorealist-neoliberal/Globalist thinking and focuses on regions Adds Amity/enmity patterns Insulators – some sort of artificiality? National security is meaningless for analysis, Global – is a goal Buzan vs Hantington

4. What is being observed in the RSC Internal vulnerabilities Intra-regional relations Relations with other regions Global/Great Power penetration Sub-complexes

5. Types of RSC Conflict Formation Security Regime Security Community (Comparable to A.Wendt’s Hobbesian, Lockean, Kantian social structures)

6. Buzan’s conclusion: What makes the Caucasus sub/mini-region Complicated mini-complex with insulating functions Though Russian influence links it with greater FSU area Four relatively unifying security dynamics: Seseccionism in Georgia, Kharabakh, North-South spill-over, pipelines Weakness of Buzan: He mostly tends to see security dynamics as local, though does not deny Russia’s unifying role in security dynamics

7. Two Federal Districts; 7 Autonomies; 3States; 3 “statelets”; 2 Virtual States

8. North Caucasus Internal security dynamics: Corruption, Clans, Poverty = Radcal Islam (Dunlope) Russian Response: Force, Chechenisation, PR (Dunlope) Kozak’s attempts: “Success” in Dagestan (Mukha Aliev), NO (Teimuraz Mamsurov), K-B(Arsen Kanonov) Intra and Inter conflicts, “based on the USSR nationality politics” (Gammer) Do not buy maps, buy stocks of map producing companies (Goble) North Caucasus under the influence of changing Russia, Islam, World (Goble)

9. South Caucasus Sample of relevant discourses – “Russia is being strengthened in the South Caucasus”: http://www.strategicoutlook.org/caucasus/news- toward-a-caucasus-without-turkey.html http://www.strategicoutlook.org/caucasus/news- toward-a-caucasus-without-turkey.html Thus Buzan: security concerns relate to other regional/sub-regional states, plus Russia (security dynamics determined by secessionism; Russian involvement and other outside actors; energy) Waal: No tangible regional dynamics

10. Independent variable: Russia – stuck between pre and post-modernism Buzan: Its “state of mind” – waves of expansion/shrinkage; waves of separation with/approach to Europe Buzan: Problem of exclusion and inclusion in broader RSC (Slavophils vs pro-Westerners) Buzan: Russia’s contemporary problem - lack international recognition/respectable role; identity crisis (state versus nation)

11. Can Tbilisi be the Center? Internationalization vs political weakness

12. Armenia Caucasians? Diaspora Powerful Military Survival and memories revisionism

13. Azerbaijan From Poverty to richness? Europe (Security concept, Eurovision) or Asia Armenian question Concern about Iran and Dagestan Record on democracy

14. Georgia Talk tomorrow