1. Vinod Thomas, Director-General, Evaluation Third International Roundtable Managing for Development Results, Hanoi February 6, 2007 Evaluation for Stronger Results

2. 2 Results in a World of Multiple Players Development Effectiveness Policies Country Outcomes Knowledge Political Economy Local Policy Makers Donors/ IFIs Aid Effectiveness Source: F. Bourguignon, Presentation at IEG Meeting (October, 2006)

3. 3 Differing Results at Project and Country Levels ► Project ratings show upward trend since the early 1990s, reversing a long decline ► In one-third of cases, Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) outcome ratings were unsatisfactory when project ratings were satisfactory Project and CAS Outcome Ratings (%) CAS project portfolio outcome CAS outcome ratings Satisfactory Unsatisfactory Satisfactory56.033.3 Unsatisfactory2.78.0 Source: IEG databases and staff estimates, July 2006

4. 4 Wide Variation in Results in Policy Areas ► Quality-Quantity disconnects: Primary education support gave high priority to increasing enrollments, but less to learning. ► Donor disconnects: In fragile states, donors often have not shared a common purpose, hence policy coherence has been hard to achieve. ► Policy disconnects: In many countries benefits from trade liberalization have not been sustainable due to lack of complementary policies.

5. 5 Evaluation Helps Track the Results Chain

6. 6 Role of M&E in Development Support ► Poverty reduction strategy papers and MDGs need M&E systems. ► Programmatic lending relies on country systems to collect performance indicators and monitor and evaluate programs. ► Country M&E capacity essential component of development community’s results-based agenda. ► Participatory approaches increase the need for country- level M&E capacity.

7. 7 How M&E Help Track Results ► Enhance transparency and support accountability relationships. ► Support evidence-based policy-making in the national budget cycle and national planning. ► Support government agencies in service delivery and the management of staff.

8. 8 M&E Limitations ► One size does not fit all. ► Project-level and country-level objectives need to be aligned. ► Measuring results requires clearly defined, realistic objectives. ► Data manageability and quality crucial for measuring outcomes. ► M&E systems alone cannot improve performance.

9. 9 Challenges to Results-Oriented Evaluation ► With the emphasis shifting to programs, can M&E address attribution of results as well as accountability? ► How does country capacity influence the design, implementation and utilization of M&E? ► Has the results agenda increased M&E capacity and harmonization within the development community?