4.1 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Chapter.

4.1 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Chapter 4 The Valuation of Long-Term Securities

4.2 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. After studying Chapter 4, you should be able to: 1. Distinguish among the various terms used to express value. 2. Value bonds, preferred stocks, and common stocks. 3. Calculate the rates of return (or yields) of different types of long-term securities. 4. List and explain a number of observations regarding the behavior of bond prices.

4.3 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Key Points u In this and following chapters, we will be applying the principles of TVM covered in Chapter 3 u The value of an asset (security) is the present value of all future cash flows expected over the period the asset (security) is held u Types of security: u Bonds u Preferred shares u Common (ordinary) shares

4.4 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Key Points Distinctions Among Valuation Concepts Bond Valuation Preferred Stock Valuation Common Stock Valuation Rates of Return (or Yields) Distinctions Among Valuation Concepts Bond Valuation Preferred Stock Valuation Common Stock Valuation Rates of Return (or Yields)

4.5 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. What is Value? Going-concern value Going-concern value represents the amount a firm could be sold for as a continuing operating business. Liquidation value Liquidation value represents the amount of money that could be realised if an asset or group of assets is sold separately from its operating organisation.

4.6 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. What is Value? (2) a firm: total assets minus liabilities and preferred stock as listed on the balance sheet. Book value Book value represents either: (1) an asset: the accounting value of an asset – the asset’s cost minus its accumulated depreciation; Book value Book value represents either: (1) an asset: the accounting value of an asset – the asset’s cost minus its accumulated depreciation;

4.7 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. What is Value? Intrinsic value Intrinsic value represents the price a security “ought to have” based on all factors bearing on valuation. Market value Market value represents the market price at which an asset trades.

4.8 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Bond Valuation Important Terms Types of Bonds Valuation of Bonds Handling Semiannual Compounding Important Terms Types of Bonds Valuation of Bonds Handling Semiannual Compounding

4.9 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Important Bond Terms maturity value MV The maturity value (MV) [or face value] of a bond is the stated value. In this course, the face value a bond is $1,000. bond A bond is a long-term debt instrument issued by a corporation or government.

4.10 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Important Bond Terms discount rate The discount rate (capitalisation rate) is dependent on the risk of the bond and is composed of the risk-free rate plus a premium for risk. coupon rate The bond’s coupon rate is the stated rate of interest; the annual interest payment divided by the bond’s face value.

4.11 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Bond valuation u Valuation is the process that links risk and return to determine the worth of an asset u two key inputs u returns ( = cash flows and their timing) u risk ( = volatility of returns) u required return is the rate the investor looks for to compensate for the investment risk

4.12 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. The Basic Valuation Model u The value of an asset is the present value of all future cash flows expected over the period the asset is held for. Calclulated by: u V 0 = (CF 1 )/(1+k) 1 + (CF 2 )/(1+k) 2 + ….. + (CF n )/(1+k) n u Where: u V 0 = Value of asset at time 0 u CF n = Cash flow expected at end of period n u k = Required rate of return u N = Relevant time period

4.13 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Bond Valuation u The value of a bond is the present value of all future cash flows the issuer is contractually obliged to make between now and maturity. u Can be calculated by: u B 0 = I x (PVIFA kd,n ) + [M x PVIF kd,n ] u Where: u B 0 = Value of the bond at time 0 u I = Annual interest paid in dollars u k d = Required rate of return u M = Par value in dollars u n = Number of years to maturity

4.14 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Value of a 10-year, 10% coupon bond if k d = 10%

4.15 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. The bond consists of a 10-year, 10% annuity of $100/year plus a $1,000 lump sum at t = 10:

4.16 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Different Types of Bonds perpetual bond A perpetual bond is a bond that never matures. It has an infinite life. (1 + k d ) 1 (1 + k d ) 2  (1 + k d )  V = ++... + III =   t=1 (1 + k d ) t I  or I (PVIFA k d,  ) Ik d V = I / k d [Reduced Form]

4.17 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Perpetual Bond Example perpetual bond Bond P has a $1,000 face value and provides an 8% annual coupon. The appropriate discount rate is 10%. What is the value of the perpetual bond? perpetual bond Bond P has a $1,000 face value and provides an 8% annual coupon. The appropriate discount rate is 10%. What is the value of the perpetual bond? I$80 I = $1,000 ( 8%) = $80. k d 10% k d = 10%. VIk d V = I / k d [Reduced Form] $8010% $800 = $80 / 10% = $800. I$80 I = $1,000 ( 8%) = $80. k d 10% k d = 10%. VIk d V = I / k d [Reduced Form] $8010% $800 = $80 / 10% = $800.

4.18 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Different Types of Bonds non-zero coupon-paying bond A non-zero coupon-paying bond is a coupon paying bond with a finite life. (1 + k d ) 1 (1 + k d ) 2 n (1 + k d ) n V = ++... + II + MVI =  n t=1 (1 + k d ) t I nn V = I (PVIFA k d, n ) + MV (PVIF k d, n ) n (1 + k d ) n + MV

4.19 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Bond C has a $1,000 face value and provides an 8% annual coupon for 30 years. The appropriate discount rate is 10%. What is the value of the coupon bond? Coupon Bond Example V V= $80 (PVIFA 10%, 30 ) + $1,000 (PVIF 10%, 30 ) = $80 (9.427 ) + $1,000 (0.057 ) [Table IV] [Table II] $811.16 = $754.16 + $57.00 = $811.16. V V= $80 (PVIFA 10%, 30 ) + $1,000 (PVIF 10%, 30 ) = $80 (9.427 ) + $1,000 (0.057 ) [Table IV] [Table II] $811.16 = $754.16 + $57.00 = $811.16.

4.20 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Different Types of Bonds zero coupon bond A zero coupon bond is a bond that pays no interest but sells at a discount to its face value; it provides compensation to investors in the form of price appreciation. n (1 + k d ) n V = MV n = MV (PVIF k d, n )

4.21 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. V $57.00 V= $1,000 (PVIF 10%, 30 ) = $1,000 (0.057 ) = $57.00 Zero-Coupon Bond Example Bond Z has a $1,000 face value and a 30 year life. The appropriate discount rate is 10%. What is the value of the zero-coupon bond?

4.22 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Semiannual Compounding k d 2 (1) Divide k d by 2 n2 (2) Multiply n by 2 I2 (3) Divide I by 2 k d 2 (1) Divide k d by 2 n2 (2) Multiply n by 2 I2 (3) Divide I by 2 Most bonds in the US pay interest twice a year (1/2 of the annual coupon). Adjustments needed: Most bonds in the US pay interest twice a year (1/2 of the annual coupon). Adjustments needed:

4.23 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. 2 2 n (1 + k d /2 ) 2 * n 2 (1 + k d /2 ) 1 Semiannual Compounding non-zero coupon bond A non-zero coupon bond adjusted for semi-annual compounding. V =++... + 2 I / 2 2 I / 2 + MV =  2n2*n2n2*n t=1 2 (1 + k d /2 ) t 2 I / 2 2 2 2n 2 2n = I/2 (PVIFA k d /2, 2*n ) + MV (PVIF k d /2, 2*n ) 2 2 n (1 + k d /2 ) 2 * n + MV 2 I / 2 2 (1 + k d /2 ) 2

4.24 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. V V= $40 (PVIFA 5%, 30 ) + $1,000 (PVIF 5%, 30 ) = $40 (15.373 ) + $1,000 (0.231 ) [Table IV] [Table II] $845.92 = $614.92 + $231.00 = $845.92 V V= $40 (PVIFA 5%, 30 ) + $1,000 (PVIF 5%, 30 ) = $40 (15.373 ) + $1,000 (0.231 ) [Table IV] [Table II] $845.92 = $614.92 + $231.00 = $845.92 Semiannual Coupon Bond Example Bond C has a $1,000 face value and provides an 8% semi-annual coupon for 15 years. The appropriate discount rate is 10% (annual rate). What is the value of the coupon bond?

4.25 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Preferred Stock Preferred Stock is a type of stock that promises a (usually) fixed dividend, but at the discretion of the board of directors. Preferred Stock Valuation Preferred Stock has preference over common stock in the payment of dividends and claims on assets.

4.26 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Preferred Stock Valuation perpetuity This reduces to a perpetuity! (1 + k P ) 1 (1 + k P ) 2  (1 + k P )  V V = ++... + Div P =   t=1 (1 + k P ) t Div P  or Div P (PVIFA k P,  ) V V = Div P / k P

4.27 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Preferred Stock Example Div P $8.00 Div P = $100 (8%) = $8.00. k P 10% VDiv P k P $8.0010% $80 k P = 10%. V = Div P / k P = $8.00 / 10% = $80 Div P $8.00 Div P = $100 (8%) = $8.00. k P 10% VDiv P k P $8.0010% $80 k P = 10%. V = Div P / k P = $8.00 / 10% = $80 preferred stock Stock PS has an 8%, $100 par value issue outstanding. The appropriate discount rate is 10%. What is the value of the preferred stock?

4.28 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Common Stock Valuation Pro rata share of future earnings after all other obligations of the firm (if any remain). may Dividends may be paid out of the pro rata share of earnings. Pro rata share of future earnings after all other obligations of the firm (if any remain). may Dividends may be paid out of the pro rata share of earnings. Common stock Common stock represents a residual ownership position in the corporation.

4.29 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Common Stock Valuation (1) Future dividends (2) Future sale of the common stock shares (1) Future dividends (2) Future sale of the common stock shares common stock What cash flows will a shareholder receive when owning shares of common stock?

4.30 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Dividend Valuation Model Basic dividend valuation model accounts for the PV of all future dividends. (1 + k e ) 1 (1 + k e ) 2  (1 + k e )  V = ++... + Div 1  Div  Div 2 =   t=1 (1 + k e ) t Div t Div t :Cash Dividend at time t k e : Equity investor’s required return Div t :Cash Dividend at time t k e : Equity investor’s required return

4.31 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Adjusted Dividend Valuation Model The basic dividend valuation model adjusted for the future stock sale. (1 + k e ) 1 (1 + k e ) 2 n (1 + k e ) n V = ++... + Div 1 nn Div n + Price n Div 2 n n:The year in which the firm’s shares are expected to be sold. n n Price n :The expected share price in year n. n n:The year in which the firm’s shares are expected to be sold. n n Price n :The expected share price in year n.

4.32 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Dividend Growth Pattern Assumptions The dividend valuation model requires the forecast of all future dividends. The following dividend growth rate assumptions simplify the valuation process. Constant Growth No Growth Growth Phases The dividend valuation model requires the forecast of all future dividends. The following dividend growth rate assumptions simplify the valuation process. Constant Growth No Growth Growth Phases

4.33 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Constant Growth Model constant growth model The constant growth model assumes that dividends will grow forever at the rate g. (1 + k e ) 1 (1 + k e ) 2 (1 + k e )  V = ++... + D 0 (1+g)D 0 (1+g)  = (k e - g) D1D1 D 1 :Dividend paid at time 1. g : The constant growth rate. k e : Investor’s required return. D 1 :Dividend paid at time 1. g : The constant growth rate. k e : Investor’s required return. D 0 (1+g) 2

4.34 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Constant Growth Model Example common stock Stock CG has an expected dividend growth rate of 8%. Each share of stock just received an annual $3.24 dividend. The appropriate discount rate is 15%. What is the value of the common stock? D 1 $3.24$3.50 D 1 = $3.24 ( 1 + 0.08 ) = $3.50 V CG D 1 k e $3.500.15 $50 V CG = D 1 / ( k e - g ) = $3.50 / (0.15 - 0.08 ) = $50 common stock Stock CG has an expected dividend growth rate of 8%. Each share of stock just received an annual $3.24 dividend. The appropriate discount rate is 15%. What is the value of the common stock? D 1 $3.24$3.50 D 1 = $3.24 ( 1 + 0.08 ) = $3.50 V CG D 1 k e $3.500.15 $50 V CG = D 1 / ( k e - g ) = $3.50 / (0.15 - 0.08 ) = $50

4.35 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Zero Growth Model zero growth model The zero growth model assumes that dividends will grow forever at the rate g = 0. (1 + k e ) 1 (1 + k e ) 2 (1 + k e )  V ZG = ++... + D1D1 DD = keke D1D1 D 1 :Dividend paid at time 1. k e : Investor’s required return. D 1 :Dividend paid at time 1. k e : Investor’s required return. D2D2

4.36 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Zero Growth Model Example common stock Stock ZG has an expected growth rate of 0%. Each share of stock just received an annual $3.24 dividend per share. The appropriate discount rate is 15%. What is the value of the common stock? D 1 $3.24$3.24 D 1 = $3.24 ( 1 + 0 ) = $3.24 V ZG D 1 k e $3.240.15 $21.60 V ZG = D 1 / ( k e - 0 ) = $3.24 / (0.15 - 0 ) = $21.60 D 1 $3.24$3.24 D 1 = $3.24 ( 1 + 0 ) = $3.24 V ZG D 1 k e $3.240.15 $21.60 V ZG = D 1 / ( k e - 0 ) = $3.24 / (0.15 - 0 ) = $21.60

4.37 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. growth phases model The growth phases model assumes that dividends for each share will grow at two or more different growth rates. (1 + k e ) t V =  t=1 n  t=n+1  + D 0 (1 + g 1 ) t D n (1 + g 2 ) t Growth Phases Model

4.38 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. D 0 (1 + g 1 ) t D n+1 Growth Phases Model growth phases model Note that the second phase of the growth phases model assumes that dividends will grow at a constant rate g 2. We can rewrite the formula as: (1 + k e ) t ( k e – g 2 ) V =  t=1 n + 1 (1 + k e ) n

4.39 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Growth Phases Model Example Stock GP has an expected growth rate of 16% for the first 3 years and 8% thereafter. Each share of stock just received an annual $3.24 dividend per share. The appropriate discount rate is 15%. What is the value of the common stock under this scenario?

4.40 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Growth Phases Model Example Stock GP has two phases of growth. The first, 16%, starts at time t=0 for 3 years and is followed by 8% thereafter starting at time t=3. We should view the time line as two separate time lines in the valuation.  0 1 2 3 4 5 6 D 1 D 2 D 3 D 4 D 5 D 6 Growth of 16% for 3 years Growth of 8% to infinity!

4.41 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Growth Phases Model Example Note that we can value Phase #2 using the Constant Growth Model  0 1 2 3 D 1 D 2 D 3 D 4 D 5 D 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Growth Phase #1 plus the infinitely long Phase #2

4.42 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Growth Phases Model Example Note that we can now replace all dividends from year 4 to infinity with the value at time t=3, V 3 ! Simpler!!  V 3 = D 4 D 5 D 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 D4k-g D4k-g We can use this model because dividends grow at a constant 8% rate beginning at the end of Year 3.

4.43 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Growth Phases Model Example Now we only need to find the first four dividends to calculate the necessary cash flows. 0 1 2 3 D 1 D 2 D 3 V 3 0 1 2 3 New Time Line D4k-g D4k-g Where V 3 =

4.44 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Growth Phases Model Example Determine the annual dividends. D 0 = $3.24 (this has already been paid) D 1 $3.76 D 1 = D 0 (1 + g 1 ) 1 = $3.24(1.16) 1 =$3.76 D 2 $4.36 D 2 = D 0 (1 + g 1 ) 2 = $3.24(1.16) 2 =$4.36 D 3 $5.06 D 3 = D 0 (1 + g 1 ) 3 = $3.24(1.16) 3 =$5.06 D 4 $5.46 D 4 = D 3 (1 + g 2 ) 1 = $5.06(1.08) 1 =$5.46 Determine the annual dividends. D 0 = $3.24 (this has already been paid) D 1 $3.76 D 1 = D 0 (1 + g 1 ) 1 = $3.24(1.16) 1 =$3.76 D 2 $4.36 D 2 = D 0 (1 + g 1 ) 2 = $3.24(1.16) 2 =$4.36 D 3 $5.06 D 3 = D 0 (1 + g 1 ) 3 = $3.24(1.16) 3 =$5.06 D 4 $5.46 D 4 = D 3 (1 + g 2 ) 1 = $5.06(1.08) 1 =$5.46

4.45 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Growth Phases Model Example Now we need to find the present value of the cash flows. 0 1 2 3 3.76 4.36 5.06 78 0 1 2 3 Actual Values 5.46 0.15–0.08 Where $78 =

4.46 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Growth Phases Model Example We determine the PV of cash flows. D 1 D 1 $3.76 $3.27 PV(D 1 ) = D 1 (PVIF 15%, 1 ) = $3.76 (0.870) = $3.27 D 2 D 2 $4.36 $3.30 PV(D 2 ) = D 2 (PVIF 15%, 2 ) = $4.36 (0.756) = $3.30 D 3 D 3 $5.06 $3.33 PV(D 3 ) = D 3 (PVIF 15%, 3 ) = $5.06 (0.658) = $3.33 P 3 $5.46 P 3 = $5.46 / (0.15 - 0.08) = $78 [CG Model] P 3 P 3 $78 $51.32 PV(P 3 ) = P 3 (PVIF 15%, 3 ) = $78 (0.658) = $51.32 We determine the PV of cash flows. D 1 D 1 $3.76 $3.27 PV(D 1 ) = D 1 (PVIF 15%, 1 ) = $3.76 (0.870) = $3.27 D 2 D 2 $4.36 $3.30 PV(D 2 ) = D 2 (PVIF 15%, 2 ) = $4.36 (0.756) = $3.30 D 3 D 3 $5.06 $3.33 PV(D 3 ) = D 3 (PVIF 15%, 3 ) = $5.06 (0.658) = $3.33 P 3 $5.46 P 3 = $5.46 / (0.15 - 0.08) = $78 [CG Model] P 3 P 3 $78 $51.32 PV(P 3 ) = P 3 (PVIF 15%, 3 ) = $78 (0.658) = $51.32

4.47 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. D 0 (1 +0.16) t D4D4 Growth Phases Model Example intrinsic value Finally, we calculate the intrinsic value by summing all of cash flow present values. (1 +0.15) t ( 0.15–0.08 ) V =  t=1 3 + 1 ( 1+0.15) n V = $3.27 + $3.30 + $3.33 + $51.32 V = $61.22

4.48 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. What is “yield to maturity”? u YTM is the rate of return earned on a bond held to maturity. Also called “promised yield.” u It assumes the bond will not default.

4.49 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Calculating Rates of Return (or Yields) cash flows 1. Determine the expected cash flows. market price (P 0 ) 2. Replace the intrinsic value (V) with the market price (P 0 ). market required rate of return discounted cash flows market price 3. Solve for the market required rate of return that equates the discounted cash flows to the market price. cash flows 1. Determine the expected cash flows. market price (P 0 ) 2. Replace the intrinsic value (V) with the market price (P 0 ). market required rate of return discounted cash flows market price 3. Solve for the market required rate of return that equates the discounted cash flows to the market price. Steps to calculate the rate of return (or Yield).

4.50 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Determining Bond YTM Determine the Yield-to-Maturity (YTM) for the annual coupon paying bond with a finite life. P 0 =  n t=1 (1 + k d ) t I nn = I (PVIFA k d, n ) + MV (PVIF k d, n ) n (1 + k d ) n + MV k d = YTM

4.51 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Determining the YTM $1,250 Julie Miller want to determine the YTM for an issue of outstanding bonds at Basket Wonders (BW). BW has an issue of 10% annual coupon bonds with 15 years left to maturity. The bonds have a current market value of $1,250. What is the YTM? $1,250 Julie Miller want to determine the YTM for an issue of outstanding bonds at Basket Wonders (BW). BW has an issue of 10% annual coupon bonds with 15 years left to maturity. The bonds have a current market value of $1,250. What is the YTM?

4.52 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. YTM Solution (Try 9%) $1,250 $1,250 = $100(PVIFA 9%,15 ) + $1,000(PVIF 9%, 15 ) $1,250 $1,250 = $100(8.061) + $1,000(0.275) $1,250 $1,250 = $806.10 + $275.00 $1,081.10 [Rate is too high!] =$1,081.10 [Rate is too high!]

4.53 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. YTM Solution (Try 7%) $1,250 $1,250 = $100(PVIFA 7%,15 ) + $1,000(PVIF 7%, 15 ) $1,250 $1,250 = $100(9.108) + $1,000(0.362) $1,250 $1,250 = $910.80 + $362.00 $1,272.80 [Rate is too low!] =$1,272.80 [Rate is too low!]

4.54 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. 0.07$1,273 0.02IRR$1,250 $192 0.09$1,081 X $23 0.02$192 YTM Solution (Interpolate) $23 X =

4.55 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. 0.07$1,273 0.02IRR$1,250 $192 0.09$1,081 X $23 0.02$192 YTM Solution (Interpolate) $23 X =

4.56 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. 0.07$1273 YTM$1250 0.02YTM$1250 $192 0.09$1081 ($23)(0.02) $192 YTM Solution (Interpolate) $23 X X =X = 0.0024 YTM7.24% YTM =0.07 + 0.0024 = 0.0724 or 7.24%

4.57 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Bond Price - Yield Relationship Discount Bond Discount Bond – The market required rate of return exceeds the coupon rate (Par > P 0 ). Premium Bond – Premium Bond – The coupon rate exceeds the market required rate of return (P 0 > Par). Par Bond – Par Bond – The coupon rate equals the market required rate of return (P 0 = Par). Discount Bond Discount Bond – The market required rate of return exceeds the coupon rate (Par > P 0 ). Premium Bond – Premium Bond – The coupon rate exceeds the market required rate of return (P 0 > Par). Par Bond – Par Bond – The coupon rate equals the market required rate of return (P 0 = Par).

4.58 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Bond Price - Yield Relationship Coupon Rate Coupon Rate MARKET REQUIRED RATE OF RETURN (%) Coupon Rate Coupon Rate MARKET REQUIRED RATE OF RETURN (%) BOND PRICE ($) 1000 Par 1600 1400 1200 600 0 10 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 5 Year 15 Year

4.59 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Bond Price-Yield Relationship rises Assume that the required rate of return on a 15 year, 10% annual coupon paying bond rises from 10% to 12%. What happens to the bond price? rise rise fall When interest rates rise, then the market required rates of return rise and bond prices will fall.

4.61 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Bond Price-Yield Relationship (Rising Rates) fallen Therefore, the bond price has fallen from $1,000 to $864. ($863.78 on calculator) fallen Therefore, the bond price has fallen from $1,000 to $864. ($863.78 on calculator) risen The required rate of return on a 15 year, 10% annual coupon paying bond has risen from 10% to 12%.

4.62 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Bond Price-Yield Relationship falls Assume that the required rate of return on a 15 year, 10% annual coupon paying bond falls from 10% to 8%. What happens to the bond price? fall fall rise When interest rates fall, then the market required rates of return fall and bond prices will rise.

4.64 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Bond Price-Yield Relationship (Declining Rates) risen Therefore, the bond price has risen from $1000 to $1171. ($1,171.19 on calculator) risen Therefore, the bond price has risen from $1000 to $1171. ($1,171.19 on calculator) fallen The required rate of return on a 15 year, 10% coupon paying bond has fallen from 10% to 8%.

4.65 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. The Role of Bond Maturity fall Assume that the required rate of return on both the 5 and 15 year, 10% annual coupon paying bonds fall from 10% to 8%. What happens to the changes in bond prices? The longer the bond maturity, the greater the change in bond price for a given change in the market required rate of return.

4.67 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. The Role of Bond Maturity risen The 5 year bond price has risen from $1,000 to $1,080 for the 5 year bond (+8.0%). risen Twice as fast! The 15 year bond price has risen from $1,000 to $1,171 (+17.1%). Twice as fast! risen The 5 year bond price has risen from $1,000 to $1,080 for the 5 year bond (+8.0%). risen Twice as fast! The 15 year bond price has risen from $1,000 to $1,171 (+17.1%). Twice as fast! fallen The required rate of return on both the 5 and 15 year, 10% annual coupon paying bonds has fallen from 10% to 8%.

4.68 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. The Role of the Coupon Rate lower For a given change in the market required rate of return, the price of a bond will change by proportionally more, the lower the coupon rate.

4.69 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Example of the Role of the Coupon Rate Assume that the market required rate of return on two equally risky 15 year bonds is 10%. The annual coupon rate for Bond H is 10% and Bond L is 8%. What is the rate of change in each of the bond prices if market required rates fall to 8%? Assume that the market required rate of return on two equally risky 15 year bonds is 10%. The annual coupon rate for Bond H is 10% and Bond L is 8%. What is the rate of change in each of the bond prices if market required rates fall to 8%?

4.70 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Example of the Role of the Coupon Rate The price for Bond H will rise from $1,000 to $1,171 (+17.1%). Faster Increase! The price for Bond L will rise from $848 to $1,000 (+17.9%). Faster Increase! The price for Bond H will rise from $1,000 to $1,171 (+17.1%). Faster Increase! The price for Bond L will rise from $848 to $1,000 (+17.9%). Faster Increase! The price on Bond H and L prior to the change in the market required rate of return is $1,000 and $848 respectively.

4.71 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Determining the Yield on Preferred Stock Determine the yield for preferred stock with an infinite life. P 0 = Div P / k P Solving for k P such that k P = Div P / P 0 Determine the yield for preferred stock with an infinite life. P 0 = Div P / k P Solving for k P such that k P = Div P / P 0

4.72 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Preferred Stock Yield Example k P = $10 / $100. k P 10% k P = 10%. k P = $10 / $100. k P 10% k P = 10%. Assume that the annual dividend on each share of preferred stock is $10. Each share of preferred stock is currently trading at $100. What is the yield on preferred stock?

4.73 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Determining the Yield on Common Stock Assume the constant growth model is appropriate. Determine the yield on the common stock. P 0 = D 1 / ( k e – g ) Solving for k e such that k e = ( D 1 / P 0 ) + g Assume the constant growth model is appropriate. Determine the yield on the common stock. P 0 = D 1 / ( k e – g ) Solving for k e such that k e = ( D 1 / P 0 ) + g

4.74 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Common Stock Yield Example k e = ( $3 / $30 ) + 5% k e 15% k e = 10% + 5% = 15% k e = ( $3 / $30 ) + 5% k e 15% k e = 10% + 5% = 15% Assume that the expected dividend (D 1 ) on each share of common stock is $3. Each share of common stock is currently trading at $30 and has an expected growth rate of 5%. What is the yield on common stock?

4.1 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Chapter.

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4.1 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Chapter.

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Presentation on theme: "4.1 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Chapter."— Presentation transcript:

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