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Published byKory Dalton Modified over 9 years ago
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Final Presentation Siyu Zheng
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Continuing from last time… Looked at volumes of largest stocks (by MCap) in S&P 100 – AAPL, CSCO, CVX, GE, IBM, JNJ, JPM, MSFT, PG, T, XOM 3 volumes were calculated for each jump test statistic at time t – Before (summed volume t-11 to t-6) – During (summed volume t-5 to t) – After (summed volume t+1 to t+6)
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Density Estimates
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Kolmogorov–Smirnov test Jump vs No Jump (1 tailed) BeforeDuringAfter AAPL0.0000 CSCO0.0000 CVX0.0000 GE0.0000 IBM0.0000 JNJ0.0000 JPM0.0000 MSFT0.0000 PG0.0000 T XOM0.0000
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Daily Volume Pattern CVX
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AAPL
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Kolmogorov–Smirnov test with jump Before - DuringDuring – After (1 tailed)Before – After (1 tailed) AAPL 0.48550 0.0000 CSCO 0.163300.000010.00240 CVX 0.620500.008300.04850 GE 0.829300.00000 0.0000 IBM 0.250400.00000 0.0000 JNJ 0.15900 0.0000 JPM 0.10090 0.0000 MSFT 0.02760 0.0000 0.00027 PG 0.26070 0.0000 T 0.81000 0.0000 XOM 0.39030 0.0000 0.00003
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Kolmogorov–Smirnov test no jumps Before - DuringDuring - AfterBefore - After AAPL 0.591000.969300.13580 CSCO 0.927500.822100.18150 CVX 0.128001.000000.09330 GE 0.027200.999900.00320 IBM 0.381201.000000.16460 JNJ 0.020801.000000.02240 JPM 0.051501.000000.02590 MSFT 0.252800.837400.01310 PG 0.048301.000000.03830 T 0.545001.000000.03840 XOM 0.040301.000000.01360
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Mean Volume (5 minutes) BeforeDuringAfter JumpNo JumpJumpNo JumpJumpNo Jump AAPL 339,450132,480368,620132,800282,440133,780 CSCO 1,156,200613,4201,288,300614,680991,300618,720 CVX 86,02155,05590,75455,79471,86355,844 GE 422,330210,000433,530212,120344,750212,770 IBM 178,38075,356183,87075,712141,76075,901 JNJ 139,27072,320132,48073,182105,40073,178 JPM 175,58089,123183,61090,166143,09090,331 MSFT 1,376,000659,0701,575,100664,2101,258,700668,110 PG 89,77850,13693,02350,76273,79350,829 T 189,34091,154197,11092,146154,31092,241 XOM 208,230133,350225,080134,990166,99013,523
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Median Volume ( 5 minutes) BeforeDuringAfter JumpNo JumpJumpNo JumpJumpNo Jump AAPL 174,20078,800184,47979,200137,59479,413 CSCO 947,100463,0001,034,500464,370795,100465,110 CVX 57,42339,50061,85939,80059,75939,800 GE 306,550167,996312,203168,499242,250168,600 IBM 121,50055,500132,10055,700102,40055,800 JNJ 96,00055,00087,60055,20069,10055,200 JPM 129,05069,700137,44069,900100,60069,900 MSFT 1,093,100508,9321,186,900510,709903,100511,203 PG 63,80636,80667,70037,00052,40937,000 T 126,510611,789126,36062,18699,25062,200 XOM 162,100107,400171,775107,900132,083108,000
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