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Sustaining Asia’s Economic Recovery in the 21 st Century 7 th Asia Economic Forum Phnom Penh, Cambodia 31 July 2011 Dr Thein Swe
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1: Developing countries are contributing more to global growth Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators 2011.
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2. Challenges to sustain Asia’s economic recovery Poverty and inequalities Gap between surging economies & poverty Competition for natural resources Economic and social disparities Environmental challenges Transparency, Accountability & governance The “middle income trap”
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3: Three types of economies in Asia Low income/growth economies (LGE) High growth middle income economies (MIE) High-income developed economies (HIDE)
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4: Low Income Economies market share in global market Source: 2011 World Development Indicators, World Bank.
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5: Inequality is increasing in Asian Countries G i n i C o e f f i c i e n t Change Country Initial Year Final Year ( % ) Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2011.
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6. Primary Commodity Prices started to rise again from 2009-2010 Source: World Bank Commodity Price Data
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7: Avoiding the middle income trap Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, October 2010.
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8: Stages of Industrialization
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9: Firms in East Asia and South Asia have the lowest tax rate Source: World Bank, Doing Business 2011
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10: Rankings on Ease of Doing Business 20112010 Singapore11 Thailand1916 Malaysia2123 Viet Nam7888 Indonesia121115 Cambodia147145 Philippines148146 Lao PDR171169 Source: World Bank, Doing Business 2011, November 4, 2010.
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