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Published byMartina Cox Modified over 9 years ago
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Physical Mechanisms Seasonality (phenology) of physical processes (upwelling, cross-shelf transport, FW input, …) Freshwater input: coastal currents (GOA, SO, GB, CCS) Advection: shelf water crossovers (GB), LF salinity anomalies (GB), ENSO-related anomalies (CCS) Retention/Loss:NAO-related shelf-ring interactions (NWA); mesoscale features (eddies, fronts); ACC variation (SO) Land-Sea temperature contrasts: Katabatic winds (SO), changes in upwelling strength (CCS), SST variation Vertical Structure: local heating; effects of heating on biological rate processes (all sites); stratification effects on upwelling efficiency (CCS)
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Biological Mechanisms Direct effects of heating on biological rate processes (all sites) Range shifts in spp due to temperature (or other) variations Changes in predator/prey relationships, ecosystem structure (incl. range shifts) Ecosystem efficiency (conversion of PP to HTL) due to changes in food web components (e.g., food chain length) Are certain target spp mpre resilient/adaptable to variability? Relative time scales of advective processes to life cycle closure times Fronts/thin layers are exploitable by “intelligent” organisms Biogeochemical variability (e.g., ocean acidification) --> IMBER Interaction b/w climate change & human activity (overfishing) on ecosystem resiliency (e.g., response to regime shift)
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Temporal/Spatial Scales Tidal mixing & shelf-slope fronts are hotspots of NPP and HTL (NWA) Topographically-controlled hot spots (Hecata Bank in CCS has long residence times; upwelling shadows around capes/headlands) Topographically-steered UCDW onto shelf (SO) Hypoxic events (CCS) Long-lived mesoscale eddies (e.g., Haida in GOA) can transport coastal material offshore Top Predators: utilize hot spots (persistent features or regions) for various ecological functions (foraging, migration, reproduction) Riverine inputs (nuts, FW, statification) Intraseasonal oscillations (NEP); SSWC-related salinity anomalies (GB); storm events (all) More (?) relevant: ENSO, NAO, SAM (interannual to decadal variability)
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Attributes/Methods Low observability and predictability for episodic events Sample appropriately for the process being studied (e.g., intraseasonal resolution to capture spring transition) Long-term HF moored samplers, satellite-based sensors, species- specific sensors (taxonomic info), ship-based studies, AUVs, gliders, drifters/floats, electronic tags … COUPLED to an interactive, data- assimilative high-res physical-biological model! Need to maintain current capabilities in satellite sensors (at least)
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