1. Russia’s Recent Fertility Increase – Why it Occurred and Can it be Sustained? Vladimir Archangelskiy, Julia Zinkina, Andrey Korotayev

2. Total fertility rate, births per woman, 2004 - 2012

3. Monthly absolute number of births in Russia, January 2001 to June 2013

5. Maternity capital, unintended pregnancies, and abortions 1 582 398 abortions vs. 1 479 637 live births in 2006 (106:100) in 2007 the abortions decreased by 103400, while live births increased by about 130500 (92:100)

6. TFR dynamics according to birth order, 2006–2012, 35 regions of Russia Year1 st births2 nd births3 rd births4 th births 5 th and higher order births 2004 0,7660,4210,1060,0290,016 2005 0,7380,4030,0990,0270,015 2006 0,7480,4040,0980,0260,015 2007 0,7470,4750,1250,0320,018 2008 0,7740,5110,1420,0360,019 2009 0,7880,5320,1440,0370,020 2010 0,7710,5610,1520,0380,020 2011 0,7690,5710,1600,0390,020 2012 0,8020,6200,1820,0440,023

7. Median age of the mother at 1 st, 2 nd, and 3 rd births, years, 35 regions of Russia, 2006 – 2012 Year Median age of the mother at 1 st birth Median age of the mother at 2 nd birth Median age of the mother at 3 rd birth 2004 23,9328,7331,52 2005 24,0528,8631,58 2006 24,1328,9631,62 2007 24,2529,0731,76 2008 24,3729,2431,91 2009 24,5829,3631,97 2010 24,8229,4432,12 2011 24,9129,5132,20 2012 25,0029,5132,27

8. Population perception of maternity capital effect Gave birth to a child which was previously being postponed Had a birth which they could not afford without the newly introduced family policy measures Family and Fertility Survey (2009). “Was your decision on having a child influenced by the fact that additional measures of state support for families with children started being realized?” 15,3% females9,7% females Selective Observation on the Reproductive Plans of the Population “Did the fact that additional measures of state support for families with children started being realized help you to make a decision on having a child?” 21.8% of males 23.4% of females 9.5% of males 9.8% of females

9. Thank you for attention!