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Could European Regulation Backfire? Georges Ugeux April 8, 2015
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2 Summary The Banking sector: a status quo The Central Banks, a question of assets’ stabilization Regulatory challenges STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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3 Overbanked Europe The Banking Sector: a status quo Size of Banking Sector Loans and deposits in the EU The deposits in the US 1 2 3 4 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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4 European Bank Balance Sheets Show Regression Of Loans The Banking Sector: a status quo Size of Banking Sector Loans and deposits in the EU The deposits in the US 1 2 3 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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5 US Commercial Banks Balance Sheet The Banking Sector: a status quo Size of Banking Sector Loans and deposits in the EU The deposits in the US 1 2 3 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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6 Summary The Banking sector: a status quo The Central Banks, a question of assets’ stabilization Regulatory challenges STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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7 The Central Banks, a question of assets’ stabilization Central Bank Assets as a Percentage of GDP
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8 Explosion of Central Bank Assets The Central Banks, a question of assets’ stabilization
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9 Fed and ECB Balance Sheet Projections: ECB’s assets keep increasing The Central Banks, a question of assets’ stabilization
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10 The Central Banks, a question of assets’ stabilization Highly rated debt is scarce as the ECB prepares to begin its 60 billion Euro monthly bond-purchase program
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11 G3: 10 - Year Government Bond Yields The Central Banks, a question of assets’ stabilization STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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12 The European Quantitative Easing The Central Banks, a question of assets’ stabilization STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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13 Summary The Banking sector: a status quo The Central Banks, a question of assets’ stabilization Regulatory challenges STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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14 The Complexity of Decision Process Regulatory challenges STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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15 The Complexity of Decision Process Regulatory challenges STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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16 Lots of Regulations even for the Retail Banking Regulatory challenges STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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17 TLAC pressure on universal banks Regulatory challenges STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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18 As A Solution: The Co-Co Bonds Regulatory challenges STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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19 A Specific Case: Greece Regulatory challenges STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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20 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Conclusion
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21 Thank You Galileo Global Advisors, LLC Ten Rockefeller Plaza, Suite 1001 New York, NY 10020 Phone: +1 212 332 6055 Fax: +1 212 332 6033 www.galileoadvisors.com Georges Ugeux Chairman & CEO +1 212.332.6044 gugeux@galileoadvisors.com Contact Information STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
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