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Published byHeather Mathews Modified over 9 years ago
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2005 – A Year in Review Casualty Actuarial Society Seminar on Reinsurance June 1, 2006 Kenneth J. LeStrange Chairman, President, CEO Endurance Specialty Holdings
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2 9/11/01 – “The Perfect Storm” WTC Disaster Largest insured loss of all time Correlation risk across many lines of business Concentration Risk Terrorism exposure Inadequate Reserves 1997 – 2001 soft market Asbestos Finite Risk Investments Abrupt decline in equity values Interest Rate declines Corporate scandals trigger bond defaults/surety losses/D&O claims
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3 9/11/01 – “The Perfect Storm” In many insurance and reinsurance segments on a global basis. Insurers and Reinsurers were forced to recapitalize. Class of 2001 created in Bermuda. This “Perfect Storm” created a hard market.
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4 2003 – 2004 Equilibrium Prices return to adequacy and perhaps redundancy in most segments. Property insurance pricing quickly comes off of peak level of 2002. Reinsurance pricing terms and conditions decline. Excess capital generated, and in some cases returned through share repurchase and dividends. Hurricane losses in fall of 2004 have little impact on an increasingly competitive market
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5 2005 KRW Katrina becomes largest insured loss. Rita – bullet dodged Wilma – 48 hours over the Yucatan Resorts in Cancun and Cozumel Surprising damage in Eastern Florida
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6 KRW Lessons Learned Models Frequency Severity Storm Surge Demand Surge Insurance to Value Construction Data Quality Rating Agencies Capital Adequacy models challenged Not all PML’s are created equal Downgrades New Criteria
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