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AUTOMOTIVE ADVERTISING Jon Swallen TNS Media Intelligence
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Please step into my time machine
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Travel back to Sept. 6, 2007 TVB Forecast Conf.
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Jon Swallen TVB Forecast Conference September 6, 2007 “The auto category has been a bloody mess since the middle of 2005.” I Said To You….
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Jon Swallen TVB Forecast Conference September 6, 2007 “We keep thinking it can’t get worse but there are no indications a corner has been turned.”
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We still haven’t found that corner.
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But we did find a cliff.
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$10 Billion of Lost Ad Spend In 5 Years -3.7% -6.1% -7.3% $20.2 $19.4 $18.2 $16.9 $14.3 Source: TNS Media Intelligence -15.7% $9.8 -31.3%
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All Segments Are In Decline Source: TNS Media Intelligence Index of Total Ad Spend (2004=100) Segment2004200620082009 (e) Factory100927761 Dealer Association100946127 Local Dealers100866439 Total Category100907149 -20% -57% -40% -31% H1 ‘09
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Where Did The Money Go? Nat’l TV 28% Spot TV 26% Newsp 26% Other 16% Web 4%
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Where Did The Money Go? Nat’l TV 28% Spot TV 26% Newsp 26% Other 16% Web 4% Nat’l TV 38% Spot TV 18% Newsp 23% Other 13% Web 7%
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Spot TV Is Losing Share Of Spend… $1.72 $5.2$4.7$5.1$4.6$3.7 Source: TNS Media Intelligence 25.5% Share 24.4% Share 27.7% Share 27.2% Share 26.1% Share $1.8 -7.9% +6.4% -9.2% -19.1% -50.5% 18.8% Share
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…As All Segments Pulled Back In H1 ‘09 Source: TNS Media Intelligence - $423 million - $303 million - $179 million
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Automotive Cutbacks On Spot TV H1 2009 vs H1 2008 Source: TNS Media Intelligence -68% -27% -42% -52% -70% -52% -$26 -$82 -$21 -$77 -$55 -$66
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Automotive Cutbacks On Spot TV H1 2009 vs H1 2008 Source: TNS Media Intelligence -68% -27% -42% -52% -70% -52%
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Large Markets Have Suffered The Most Source: TNS Media Intelligence % Change In Spot TV Automotive Ad Spend H1 ’ 09 vs. H1 ’ 08 DMA 1-10 DMA 11-25 DMA 26-50 DMA 51-75 DMA 76-100 -55.0%-49.7%-46.6%-44.6%-38.4%
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Cash For Clunkers Program Weekly # of :30 Ads Aired By Auto Advertisers May- June 7/67/137/207/278/38/10 National TV9,0569,85110,27111,3927,3027,3667,963 Spot TV (101 DMAs) 133,31374,834146,121202,223160,67688,933135,372 * Includes Factory, Dealer Association and Local Dealers Source: TNS Media Intelligence
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Key Indicators To Track New vehicle sales
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Key Indicators To Track New vehicle sales Model introductions and redesigns
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Key Indicators To Track New vehicle sales Model introductions and redesigns Ad spend per vehicle sold
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Sources: TNS Media Intelligence; Wards AutoInfo Bank Index of New Vehicle Sales and Ad Spend (2004=100) 20042006200720082009 (e) New Vehicle Sales 10098957851 Ad Spend Per Vehicle Sold 10097889195 Ad Spend vs. Unit Sales
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Key Indicators To Track New vehicle sales Model introductions and redesigns Ad spend per vehicle sold Dealership closings (GM, Chrysler)
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AUTOMOTIVE ADVERTISING
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