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HOW DO FIRMS IN INDIA FINANCE THEMSELVES? Conference on “Adapting India’s financial sector to a globalizing world” Goa 1 st November, 2002 Prithvi Haldea PRIME DATABASE
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A THEN & NOW STUDY THEN : 1999-91 TO 1995-96 (6 YEARS) NOW : 1996-97 TO 2002-03 (A-S) (6 1 / 2 YEARS)
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Companies have not been able to raise money thru IPOs,which have nosedived… by amount
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and by number…
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Rights issues route too has dried up…by amount
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and by number
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Marginally more money could be raised thru GDRs/ADRs, courtesy the IT boom…
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though the number of companies who could do it has fallen.
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Debt private placements as a whole had risen dramatically,only courtesy SLUs and FIs… but even this is falling now,both by amount
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and by number
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Private sector is, however, raising more money. But most of it is either for retiring old expensive debt…
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or is for short-term working capital
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But debt is available only to < A rated issuances
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Lesser money is coming thru venture capital
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And fewer companies are being funded by VCs
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In fact, number of VC funds investing in Indian companies has also declined sharply…
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So have new commitments received by Indian VC funds
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The bad news is that most funds are now investing in later-stage
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Projects financed thru public issues are now non-existent. Aggregate values have fallen…
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and so have number of such projects
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Retail investors, who were acting as venture capitalists, have vanished…
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Bridge Finance - almost non-existent now
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Loans (Banks/FIs) - on one hand,the problems of NPAs - on the other, no lendable proposals or no lending despite rising deposits,courtesy CVC/CBI
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Leasing (NBFCs) - almost over now
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Fixed Deposits - almost over now
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Where does the FUTURE lie for firms? ???
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Private Equity - only to select, big, profitable firms
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Venture Capital - cautious, and as such restrictive
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Primary Market - scenario extremely grim
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80 IPOs got SEBI approval, but could not enter market SL. COMPANY ISSUE AMOUNT NO. (Rs.crore) ____ ______________________________ ______________ 1 ESKAY K'N'IT (INDIA) LTD. 300 2 FUTURE SOFTWARE LTD. 200 3 GODREJ SARA LEE LTD. 200 4 NIMBUS COMMUNICATIONS LTD. 182 5 PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 164 6 PARAS PHARMACEUTICALS LTD. 150 7 UTV SOFTWARE COMMUNICATIONS LTD.100 8 DATAMATICS TECHNOLOGIES LTD. 100 + 72 more
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Companies actively wanting to access capital market Total companies : 614 Amount : Rs.112000 crore
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Other pending issues Total companies : 1693
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More problems for smaller IPOs - Regional Stock Exchanges in a disarray: problem for < Rs. 10 crore capital companies - Impractical 60% QIB guideline –not a single IPO till date under this
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Revised entry norms for IPOs may help
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Turnaround/ M & A Funds - when will they set up shop?
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Private Sector Banks - some hope for borrowing
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ADRs/ GDRs/ SDRs - 100+ companies interested - international markets in a bad shape
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Pension Funds - uncertainty continues
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Thank You… but how will firms finance themselves ? prithvi@primedatabase.com
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