1. Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast
Ian Atkinson, P. Geo.
Oil & Gas Development Partnership
Memorial University of Newfoundland
May 16, 2007

2. Warning!
The following presentation is for Mature Audiences Viewer discretion is advised

3. Sedimentary Basins of Atlantic Canada

4. Oil Production Forecast
Hibernia
Terra Nova
White Rose
Locke 2007, C-NLOPB

5. Sedimentary
Basins of
Atlantic Canada

6. the Dept. of Natural Resources
The Jeanne d’Arc Basin
C-NLOPB and
the Dept. of Natural Resources

7. Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board
Significant
Discoveries on the
Labrador Shelf
Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board

8. Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board
North Bjarni Field: 2.2 Tcf gas, 82 MMbbls NGL’s
Gudrid Field: 918 Bcf gas, 6.9 MMbbls NGL’s
Bjarni Field: 858 Bcf gas, 31.4 MMbbls NGL’s
Hopedale Field: 106 Bcf gas, 2.5 MMbbls NGL’s
Snorri Field: 106 Bcf gas, 2.5 MMbbls NGL’s
(P50 values, see DeSilva, 1999)
Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board

9. Sedimentary
Basins of
Atlantic Canada
The Dept of Natural Resources

10. Onshore and Offshore Exploration Licences of Newfoundland and Labrador
The Department of Natural Resources

11. Sedimentary
Basins of
Atlantic Canada
The Dept. of Natural Resources

12. Western Newfoundland Exploration Licences
The Department of Natural Resources

13. Hebron/Ben Nevis Western Newfoundland? Jeanne d’Arc Gas? White Rose +
Labrador Gas?
Terra Nova
Laurentian Basin?
Hibernia
Orphan Basin?

14. Oil Production Forecast - Base Case Annual Production (million bbls)20 40 60 80
100
120
140
160
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
Year
Annual Production (million bbls)
Hebron
White Rose
Terra Nova
Hibernia
White Rose +
Western Newfoundland?
Jeanne d’Arc Gas?
Labrador Gas?
Laurentian Basin
Orphan Basin
White Rose
Hebron
Terra Nova
Hibernia
Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board

15. Sedimentary
Basins of
Atlantic Canada

16. The Oil & Gas Development Partnership
Thank You