1. outrageous fortunes Trends to Watch in the Global Economy Daniel Altman ICTF Global Trade Symposium 12 November 2012

2. outrageous fortunes The Race for Growth

3. outrageous fortunes The Race for Growth LIMITS OBSTACLES OPPORTUNITIES RISKS

4. outrageous fortunes #1 China will get richer, and then poorer again

5. outrageous fortunes #1 China will get richer, and then poorer again

6. outrageous fortunes #1 China will get richer, and then poorer again

7. outrageous fortunes #2 The European Union will disintegrate as an economic entity

8. outrageous fortunes #3 The backlash against capitalism won’t last, but it won’t be replaced by political stability Left-wing populism Right-wing authoritarianism Centrist legitimacy

9. outrageous fortunes #4 The collapse of the World Trade Organization will open up new gains from trade

10. outrageous fortunes #5 A new set of lifestyle hubs will replace today’s business hubs

11. outrageous fortunes #6 As the global economy integrates, the middleman will win

12. outrageous fortunes The role of the United States

13. outrageous fortunes Q & A @altmandaniel danielaltman.com daltman@stern.nyu.edu