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Diffusion of Innovation
Module III: By Srikanth Venkatswamy
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Module III: Diffusion of Innovation The adoption Process
Classification of Adopters Diffusion of Consumer Innovations Diffusion of Industrial Innovations
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The Adoption Process
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The Adoption Process “Adoption is the decision of an individual to become a regular user of a product” Kotler. The adoption Process: “the Mental process through which an individual passes from first hearing about a innovation to final adoption” Diffusion: Refers to the spread of a new idea from the source of invention or creation to its Ultimate users or adopters
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“An innovation refers to any good, service or idea that is perceived by something as new”
Innovation takes time to spread
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Stages in the Adoption Process
This CTR relates to the material on pp Stages in the Adoption Process 6 Awareness Interest Evaluation Trial Adoption Stages in the Adoption Process The new product adoption process parallels the buyer decision process but focuses more on the interaction of consumer needs with product adoption. The new product adoption process may work best to explain how regularly used products requiring re-purchase are considered for inclusion in the consumer's consumptive Behaviour patterns but may also apply to some durables as well. Awareness. In this stage the consumer is aware of the new product but lacks further information about it. Interest. The consumer is motivated to seek information about the new product. Evaluation. The consumer determines whether or not to try the new product. Trial. The consumer tries the new product on a small scale to test its efficacy in meeting his or her needs. Trial can be imagined use of the product in some cases. Adoption. The consumer decides to make use of the product on a regular basis. 6
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Stages in Adoption Process
NAME OF STAGE WHAT HAPPENS DURING THIS STAGE EXAMPLE Awareness Consumer is first exposed to the product innovation. Jayaram sees an ad for a new MP3 player in the magazine he is reading. Interest Consumer is interested in the product and searches for additional information. Jayaram goes to an electronics store and has a salesperson show him a unit. Evaluation Consumer decides whether or not to believe that this product or service will satisfy the need--a kind of “mental trial.” After talking to a knowledgeable friend, Jayaram decides that this MP3 player will allow him to easily download the MP3 files that he has on her computer. He also feels that the unit’s size is small to fit backpack. The price is affordable 7
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Stages in Adoption Process
8 Trial Consumer uses the product on a limited basis Since an MP3 player cannot be “tried” like a small tube of toothpaste, Jayaram buys the MP3 player from a store, which offers a 30-day full refund policy. Adoption (Rejection) If trial is favorable, consumer decides to use the product on a full, rather than a limited basis--if unfavorable, the consumer decides to reject it. Jayarama finds that the MP3 player is easy to use and that the sound quality is excellent. He keeps the MP3 player. NAME OF STAGE WHAT HAPPENS DURING THIS STAGE EXAMPLE
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Roger Model of Five Stages in the Innovation-Decision Process
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Knowledge – person becomes aware of an innovation and has some idea of how it functions,
Persuasion – person forms a favorable or unfavorable attitude toward the innovation, Decision – person engages in activities that lead to a choice to adopt or reject the innovation, Implementation – person puts an innovation into use, Confirmation – person evaluates the results of an innovation-decision already made.
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An Enhanced Adoption Process Model
11 Pre-existing problem or Need Awareness Interest Evaluation Trial Adoption or Rejection Post adoption or Postpurc hase Evaluation Discontinuation Discontinuation or Rejection Rejection
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Adoption of Innovations
This CTR corresponds to Figure 6-10 on p. 210 and relates to the material on pp Adoption of Innovations 12 Percentage of Adopters Time of Adoption Early Late Innovators Adopters Early Majority 2.5% 13.5% 34% 16% Laggards Late Majority Individual Differences in Innovativeness Innovators. Innovators include the first 2.5% of buyers who adopt a new product idea. Innovators help get the product exposure but are not often perceived by the majority of potential buyers as typical consumers. Innovators like risk taking and enjoy buying new products. Innovators may purchase at skimming prices. Discussion Note: You might discuss the ethical implications of skimming. Is it fair? Also, are there cost considerations associated with new product development that make skimming to recover high start up costs more ethical than it may seem? Early Adopters. Early Adopters comprise about 13.5% of the buyers who adopt new products. This group serves as opinion leaders to the rest of the market and their product usage outcomes serve as motivation to later buyers to get the product. Early Majority. Early Majority are some 34% of buyers adopting the product. They are deliberate consumers who adopt new ideas before the average person but seldom lead the market. Late Majority. Late Majority comprise another 34% of buyers adopting the product. This group is skeptical of new products and only buys after the majority of the market has tried it. Laggards. Laggards are the final 16% of adopters and are tradition-bound. They are suspicious of change and only adopt innovation that have already become something of a tradition. Ugra Raj Enterprises Privated Limited 12
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Category Description %
Innovators Venturesome –eager to try new ideas, Daring risk, social 2.5 Early adopters Respect – role models, opinion leaders, moderate risk 13.5 Early majority Deliberate – more thoughtful in approach, rarely leaders 34.0 Late Majority Skeptical – adopt after average time due economic necessity or peer pressure, cautious Laggards Traditional – past oriented and suspicious of the new, 16.0 13
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Profile of Innovator Characteristics Innovator Product Interest More
Opinion leadership Personality Dogmatism Open minded Need for uniqueness Higher Social character Inner directed Optimum stimulation level Variety seeking 14
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Less More Younger Higher higher
Perceived risk Less Venturesomeness More Media habits Special interest magazine Television Demographics Age Younger Income Higher Education Occupational status higher Consumption Traits Social Characteristics 15
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Innovators: Description
16 2.5% of population Venturesome Very eager to try new ideas Acceptable if risk is daring More cosmopolite social relationships Communicates with other innovators
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Early Adopters: Description
13.5% of population Respected More integrated into the local social system The persons to check with before adopting a new idea Category contains greatest number of opinion leaders Are role models 17
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Early Majority: Description
18 34% of population Deliberate Adopt new ideas just prior to the average time Seldom hold leadership positions Deliberate for some time before adopting
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Late Majority: Description
19 34% of population Skeptical Adopt new ideas just after the average time Adopting may be both an economic necessity and a reaction to peer pressures Innovations approached cautiously
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Laggards: Description
20 16% of population Traditional The last people to adopt an innovation Most “localite” in outlook Oriented to the past Suspicious of the new
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Adoption Process The stages through which an individual consumer passes in arriving at a decision to try (or not to try), to continue using (or discontinue using) a new product. 21
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Diffusion Of Consumer Innovation: Roger-5 factor Model
Influences Relative Advantage Communi- cability Divisibility Compatibility Complexity
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Rogers 5 Factor model : Consumer innovation
Relative Advantage. This refers to the degree to which the innovation appears superior to existing products Compatibility. This refers to the degree to which the innovation fits the values and experiences of the potential consumers.
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Complexity. This refers to the degree to which the innovation is difficult to understand or use.
Divisibility. This refers to the degree to which the innovation can be tried on a limited basis. Communicability. This refers to the degree to which the results of using the innovation can be observed or described to others
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Trialability is the degree to which an innovation may be experimented with on a limited basis.
New ideas that can be tried on the installment plan will generally be adopted more quickly than innovations that are not divisible. An innovation that is trialable represents less uncertainty to the individual who is considering it for adoption, who can learn by doing.
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Diffusion of Industrial Innovations
Industrial innovation is of two types: Products Processes These are quite sensitive to factors of price, quality, technology The rate of diffusion varies widely depending on the industry.
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Mansfield Four Factors
The speed with which a new industrial product ,or process is adopted according to E .mansfield: Economic Advantage: New products or processes, that are perceived to be more profitable will be adopted more rapidly than those with lower expected return. Commitment: The commitment towards the customer requirements and beyond will make the degree of adoption more feasible.
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Mansfield Four Factors
Uncertainty: The roles of risk, uncertainty and learning in the adoption of new technologies are reviewed. Although they have been emphasized in many commentaries about the adoption process, they have been directly addressed in only a minority of the large process relating to the adoption of innovations. Risk, uncertainty and learning play a number of distinct roles in the process of adopting new technologies.
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Mansfield Four Factors
Risk reduction: The results show that the extent to which a organization-side has pursued a strategy aimed at positioning the innovation in the marketplace or has focused on reducing the risk of adoption has a positive and significant effect on the probability of innovation adoption. The evidence collaborates that not only adopter-side variables significantly influence innovation, but supply-side variables as well.
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