1. Skills for the future The role of occupations in the skills supply and demand forecasts Vladimir Kvetan Cedefop InGRID Expert workshop New skills new jobs: Tools for harmonising the measurement of occupations Amsterdam, 10-12 February 2014

2. Skills for the future Occupations in the forecasts Occupation as inputs Occupations as results Further focus on occupations

3. Skills for the future NA vs. LFS Where do you work? / Where do you live? better fit in models / more details statistical reports / survey data

4. Skills for the future NACE rev.2 and ISCO 08 NACE –change in philosophy of sectors –new sectors (mainly 1 digit) –2008 and 2009 data available for both ISCO –no time series intention –no transformation year (matrix) –timing of introduct ion

5. Skills for the future ISCO 08 regrouping

6. Skills for the future ISCO 08 regrouping (2)

7. Skills for the future Employment shares by occupation EU-27 (% total), 2008-2011 Source: Eurostat, ELFS

8. Skills for the future Employment shares for ISCO 1 by country Source: Eurostat, ELFS

9. Skills for the future Two solutions Constant share of ISCO 08 –relatively easy –not reflecting reality –constant shares in sectors Past trends continue –difficult task –trends and changing occupational structure –additional inputs from countries

10. Skills for the future Occupations as results ISCO 08 30 countries, sectors, qualifications Net change + replacement demand Available online –www.cedefop.europa.euwww.cedefop.europa.eu –main results and detailed data

11. Skills for the future Occupations as results

12. Skills for the future Occupation skills profiles Coordination characteristics –level of qualification requirement –field of study Main characteristics –knowledge –skills –competences Supplementary characteristics –occupaitonal interests –working values

13. Skills for the future Qualifications cross sectors Source: Cedefop, OSP workbooks (2014)

14. Skills for the future Qualifications in jobs Source: Cedefop, OSP workbooks (2014)

15. Skills for the future Thank you for your attention Vladimir Kvetan More information: www.cedefop.europa.eu or skills-analysis@cedefop.europa.eu