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TEENAGE DRIVER CRASHES -- CARRYING PASSENGERS AS A RISK FACTOR Li-Hui Chen, MS, Ph.D. Assistant Scientist Johns Hopkins School of Public Health Center for Injury Research & Policy
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Readings Carrying passengers as a risk factor for crashes fatal to 16- and 17-year-old driversCarrying passengers as a risk factor for crashes fatal to 16- and 17-year-old drivers Reducing fatal crash risk among teenaged driversReducing fatal crash risk among teenaged drivers Graduated licensing: a blueprint for North AmericaGraduated licensing: a blueprint for North America
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Learning Objectives: Understand the scope of MV injury for teenage drivers Learn about the risk to teenage drivers of carrying passengers Learn about the GDL system
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Performance Goals: Be able to describe the importance of MV injury for teenagers Be able to describe the risk of carrying passengers for teen driver Be able to describe the ideal GDL system
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Background For U.S. teens, MV crashes are the leading cause of death, accounting for 36% of all deaths have a much higher rate than for older drivers
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Background --Haddon Matrix Phases Factors HumanVehicleEnvironment Precrash Carrying Passengers Crash Postcrash
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Background —GDL System Lets teen drivers earn experience step by step and in a less risky environment
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Background --Central framework for GDL Three stages Supervised learner’s period Intermediate license Full license
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Background —Current GDL adoption in the U.S.Current GDL adoption in the U.S. 30 states had adopted full graduated licensing systems 14 states had some passenger restrictions
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Methods --Data FARS: All fatal crashes in the U.S.FARS GES: Sample of police reported crashes in the U.S.GES NPTS: Survey of travel patterns in the U.S.NPTS
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Methods --Analysis Risk of death per 10 million trips Risk of death per 1000 crashes Relative risk and confidence intervals
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Results
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Trip-Based Risks for Teenaged Driver Deaths 6AM-9:59 PM10-11:59 PM12-5:59 AM Passenger Present NoYesNoYesNoYes DR1.242.203.266.3714.2021.88 RR-1.77-1.95-1.54
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Results Driver Deaths (aged 16-17) per 1,000 Crashes Age and Number of Passengers Aged 13-19Aged 20-29 None1>=21 DR1.442.082.463.553.90 RR-1.451.712.472.71
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Results Teenaged Driver Deaths per 1,000 Crashes Sex and Number of Passengers FemaleMale None1>=21 Both Sex DR1.441.561.592.543.192.63 RR-1.081.111.762.221.83
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Results -Summary Fatal crash rates for drivers aged 16-17 increased with the number of passengers for both day and night Crashes are more likely to be fatal in the presence of male, teen, and age 20-29 passengers
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Discussion--P ossible explanations Dangerous driving behaviors Distraction Alcohol involvement
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Discussion --Limitations Unable to control alcohol Do not have information on age of passengers in travel pattern
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Conclusions Restrictions on carrying passengers should be considered for inclusion in graduated licensing systems for young drivers
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Further Studies Age of passengers The relationship to alcohol use Why carrying passengers increases risk
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