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Published byTheodore Hill Modified over 9 years ago
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Revision Explanation notes
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Fiscal policy is a discretionary policy. Fiscal policy involves manipulation by the govt for its own expenditures and taxes to influence AD or components of AD = C+I+G+(X-M)
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Current expenditure – daily running costs of gov departments Capital exp – infrastuctures etc Transfer payments - welfare
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Taxes = income, company, G+S taxes, customs Sales of gov G+S – water/eleatricity/ transports Sales of gov own assets
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In times of recessions- gov uses expansionary FP to stimulate AD In times of booms – gov uses Contractionary FP to reduce AD this is done by changing the C, I, or G components of AD
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G = gov changes its own levels of spending by (spend more in recession, or less in boom) C = changes income taxes to change disposable income – in recession reduce tax / in boom raise tax - so as Y rise C rises too. I = changes to business taxes/ or subsidies to businesses can stimulate I or decrease I
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( in boom increase T and reduce subsidies/ in recession reduce tax and increase subsidies to change cost of production for firms – increase S and O/P and increase employment
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In time of recession – eco experience recess gap – high U/E and low O/P and falling AD. Changes in gov exp +T impact directly on AD how?? Raises disposable income and encourage production of more o/p -------- Thefore AD curve shift right to potential output. Eliminates rec gap
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If budget already in surplus – then surplus declines or shrinks to become a deficit If budget in deficit – deficit increases ( this can be a problem)
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If gov chooses to reduce tax and increase exp at same time = revenues decline = budget goes into deficit Need to subsidies exp either from borrowing or sales of gov assets both not desirable Borrowing = increase foreign debt – impact BOP Sales of gov assets – reduce future incomes for govt
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Can lead to inflationary pressures if AD is increased a lot more than increased o/p. Both monetarists and Keynesian models predict this to happen as show in diagrams Impact of FP will be rise in inflation which if monitored should be a positive sign that eco is recovering as long as inflation is not caused by S push factors – bcz it causes lower o/p and higher P.
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FP in boom times focuses in opposite to recession and aims to eliminate the inflationary gap and reduce AD by Increase taxes Reduce G The impact will be shift of AD left eliminating the inflationary gap and reduce prices.
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If govt increases T or reduces exp too much it may lead to recession or if T not raised high enough or exp reduced enough then AD may remain high. – why multiplier effect Contractionary FP may also lead to only small fall in prices compared to fall in o/p as explained by Keynes
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If AD curve falls on the upward sloping AS curve prices will fall as well as GDP If AD curve falls to the horizontal part of AS curve then GDP may fall by greater amount than fall in P. It may also lead to Rachet effect with GDP falling whilst P remain the same – more likely representation of real life.
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Bcz it uses automatic stabilizers such as; progressive Y tax unemployment benefits Multiplier effect ensures that these stabilizers work in the eco. Where only small injection of G or lower T result in higher multiplied effect on GDP
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Gov must ensure it applies the correct level of exp or tax changes to produce the desired effect otherwise outcomes may be undesirable – eg: keeping eco in recession if not enough T cuts or exp are injected into eco or if less T increase or not enough cuts to exp – causing eco to remain overheating. If too much are injected – the risk over stimulating the eco.
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Mainly determined by multiplier effect and the MPT and MPC as well as MPS and MPM If MPC/ MPM is low – the more tax cut or a gov spending must be injected to stimulate eco. If MPS – is high then the same will happen
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Levels of o/p – by spending on infrastructure, subsidies/ R&D to improve tech and productivity of lab Spending directed to human devp – training and education Incentives to encourage I – T concessions, subsidies
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Create stable eco environment for I and C Gov policies encourage firms to invets in R& D R&D enables better tech and increase productivity - cause a shift in LRAS curves Creates a stable eco environment for firms to plan for Long term
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Pulling an eco out of recession ( bcz W and P may not adjust in SR ( sticky downwards - but if not then gov needs to intervene as Keynes suggested) – effective as seen in 2008 GFC Dealing with rapid and escalating inflation – Contractionary FP
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Ability to target sectors of the economy – Eg; education, industry, infrastructure, heath – eg : Australia in 2008 – spending on renovating schools Direct impact of gov spending on AD – especially direct spending but not so much Taxes because they may take time to take effect – if buss or Consumers are unsure about future Ability to affect levels potential o/p – by creating stable macro eco enviro
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1. Time lags – takes time for gov to recognize that recession or inflation is happening – due to waiting for data (quarterly figures) Need to decide on appropriate policy to use – change taxes or exp ?? Policy takes time to take effect – min of 6-12 months
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2. political constraints GOV must get approval for its budget from political parties who may be opposed to increasing taxes or reducing welfare payments 3. Crowding out If gov need to use expansionary FP and has budget deficit then need to borrow from domestic banks this may lead to crowding out of domestic investment
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As less money available to borrow – i/r may rise – not desirable in recessions. Otherwise need to borrow overseas – raise foreign debt – not desirable for BOP
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Other weaknesses include: 3. Inability to deal with supply side causes of instability such as stagflation – with high inflation and low GDP – inflation better dealt with using tight MP 4. In recession T cuts may not be very effective if people feel insecure about future and save more instead of spending ie high MPS – therefore better to focus on increase spending instead
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5. inability to fine tune the eco – FP can lead the eco into a certain direction – ie reduce /increase AD but it cannot maintain AD at certain levels of O/p and p levels. WHY??? Bcz AD is influenced by many simultaneous factors that cannot all be controlled at same time
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