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Introduction to Statistical Methods By Tom Methven Digital slides and tools available at: www.macs.hw.ac.uk/~mjc/teaching/ResearchMethods.

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Presentation on theme: "Introduction to Statistical Methods By Tom Methven Digital slides and tools available at: www.macs.hw.ac.uk/~mjc/teaching/ResearchMethods."— Presentation transcript:

1 Introduction to Statistical Methods By Tom Methven Digital slides and tools available at: www.macs.hw.ac.uk/~mjc/teaching/ResearchMethods

2 Moving Bell-curves

3 Designing the Experiment 1. Define exactly what you want to measure 2. Pick which statistical test to use, first 3. Decide on your experimental design

4 Worked Example Vs.

5 Level Of Measurement (Non- Parametric) Nominal : Ordinal : TomPawelKhem MikeStefanoAl AndyPatrickLin

6 Level Of Measurement (Parametric) Interval : Ratio :

7 Statistic Basics For the results: 9,2,5,3,6,9,5,6,4,2,6

8 Worked Example Results Time (Ratio scale) Results: Interface 1Interface 2 Person 14.284.38 Person 22.784.99 Person 37.634.30 Person 47.934.27 Person 57.195.50 Person 65.735.22 Person 78.404.09 Person 85.884.46 Person 95.604.00 Person 104.894.90 Mean:6.034.61

9 Randomisation and Ordering Effects People might get better at playing virtual pianos! With many conditions or trials, it is easiest to show then in a random order 1 First2 First Person 1Person 2 Person 3Person 4 Person 5Person 6 Person 7Person 8 Person 9Person 10

10 Latin Squares A way of counter-balancing condition order E.g. For three possible conditions: Order of conditions or trials Group 1ABC Group 2BCA Group 3CAB

11 Accuracy of the Mean Variance: Standard Deviation: Standard Error:

12 Degrees of Freedom For sample populations, often ‘N – 1’ is used

13 Student’s T-Test Used for comparing the means of two groups Assumes populations are normally distributed

14 Student’s T-Test Create a ‘null hypothesis’ Create an alternate hypothesis

15 Dependent T-Test Used to compare the results of two groups = Average difference = Expected difference (0 for null hypothesis) = Standard deviation of differences = Sample Size

16 Worked Example T Result = 1.420756421 = 1.985348881 = 10 t-value = 2.26

17 Interpreting T-Value p-value = 0.025

18 Effect Size How important the result is in practical terms – r = 0.10 (small effect) – 1% of total variance – r = 0.30 (medium effect) – 9% of total variance – r = 0.50 (large effect) – 25% of the variance

19 [letter]-values t-value: Result of the t-test p-value: Is it statistically significantly? r-value: Is the effect substantial in reality?

20 Final Results p-value = 0.025 r-value = 0.60 Degrees of freedom = 9 “The results show that Wii Piano allows users to play a set tune successfully significantly faster than iPiano (p = 0.025). In addition, the effect size was large (r = 0.6), showing the result was substantial in real terms.”

21 Error Bars Error bars: Plot standard error

22 Excel Example TTEST in Excel will give a ‘p-value’ directly

23 Summing Up Dependant t-test when using a single group Avoid ordering effects Use ‘TTEST’ in Excel to get p-value easily Check p < 0.05 and quote the value and result

24 Recommended Reading


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