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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A 12.06.2008 Conference of European Statisticians Session 1- The Demographic Impact of Migration Paris, 12 June 2008 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union Submitted by STATISTICS AUSTRIA Stephan Marik-Lebeck www.statistik.at
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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A SSED Montréal, 6-8 Dec 2007 How should we count? Methodological debates - Session 3.1 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union CES Paris, 12 June 2008 Session 1 The Demographic Impact of Migration 12.06.2008 2 CONTENTS Introduction Definitions of duration for residents and migration Methodological approaches in migration statistics Data sources for migration statistics in EU-Member States Measurement concepts of international migration in EU- Member States Conclusion
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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A SSED Montréal, 6-8 Dec 2007 How should we count? Methodological debates - Session 3.1 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union CES Paris, 12 June 2008 Session 1 The Demographic Impact of Migration 12.06.2008 3 Data sources and statistical procedures of migration statistics in EU Member States Moment of registration Statistical Processing Register-based Different sources for nationals and foreigners Annual estimate Ex-Ante (intended stay at registration, assessment of validity of permit) Unchanged Administrative data 4 ES, IT, LU, PL - 5 BG, EL, CY, MT, PT Statistical Adjustments --- Ex-Post (actual length of registration at given date, de- registration at expiry of permit) Unchanged Administrative data --- Statistical Adjustments 9 AT, BE, DK, EE, FI, LV, LT, NL, SE 6 CZ, DE, HU, SI, SK, RO 3 FR, IE, UK
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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A SSED Montréal, 6-8 Dec 2007 How should we count? Methodological debates - Session 3.1 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union CES Paris, 12 June 2008 Session 1 The Demographic Impact of Migration 12.06.2008 4 Introduction definitions for the measurement of migration flows and population stocks vary greatly among EU-Member States differences mostly reflect national administrative procedures different rules for nationals, EEA citizens and third-country nationals reflect distinct legal situation Length of validity of permits determines timing applied to migration statistics for third-country nationals and to a lesser degree also EEA citizens while for the immigration of non-nationals most MS use a timing of twelve months, nationals are often are registered instantly. The situation for emigration is not exactly symmetric. many Member States opt for an absence of twelve months minimum to count a person as an emigrant.
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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A SSED Montréal, 6-8 Dec 2007 How should we count? Methodological debates - Session 3.1 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union CES Paris, 12 June 2008 Session 1 The Demographic Impact of Migration 12.06.2008 5 EU countries define different time-spans to count migration flows UN recommendations (1998) on the measurement of migration distinguish three main categories: Long-term migrants (actual / intended) length of stay > 12 months Short-term migrants (actual / intended) length of stay 3-12 months Temporary stayers (actual / intended) length of stay < 3 months For purposes of migration statistics the recording of the first two categories is recommended but focus on long-term migrants Methodological approaches in migration statistics
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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A SSED Montréal, 6-8 Dec 2007 How should we count? Methodological debates - Session 3.1 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union CES Paris, 12 June 2008 Session 1 The Demographic Impact of Migration 12.06.2008 6 Migration statistics in EU-Member States available through two main sources: surveys (e.g. LFS; International Passenger Survey,…) or administrative registration systems. 2/3 of EU-Member States have already implemented registration systems, but use them in very diverse ways Intended length of stay Actual length of stay between registration and de-registration Statistical Adjustments unchanged administrative Data DATA SOURCES FOR MIGRATION MEASUREMENT IN EU-COUNTRIES
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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A SSED Montréal, 6-8 Dec 2007 How should we count? Methodological debates - Session 3.1 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union CES Paris, 12 June 2008 Session 1 The Demographic Impact of Migration 12.06.2008 7 Three Months (= including Short-Term-Migration): + Concordance with legal framework free movement of EU citizens limited to three months w/o obligation to register Validity of tourism visas to EU limited to 90 days Persons staying longer need to register / residence permit + Greater Timeliness and more rapid Availability of Data Less need for estimations to comply with EU regulation ± Limited impact of Short-Term-migration in relation to Long-Term-Migration BUT large difference in migration flows (AT ~ 30%) through increase of circular / seasonal migration, i.e. since 2004 EU enlargement - Currently no consistency with administrative systems in majority of countries BUT gradual harmonisation of legal framework might increase consistency ADVANTAGES & DISADVANTAGES OF DIFFERENT TIME SPANS FOR MEASURING MIGRATION
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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A SSED Montréal, 6-8 Dec 2007 How should we count? Methodological debates - Session 3.1 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union CES Paris, 12 June 2008 Session 1 The Demographic Impact of Migration 12.06.2008 8 limited comparability of migration statistics between countries difficulty of determining migration flows between EU-countries In addition, this may well contrast with definitions for measurement of population stocks little harmonisation of migration flows and population stocks difficulty in creating a consistent population accounting system in which the population change between two dates of reference can be unambiguously explained through demographic components (births deaths, immigration emigration) CURRENT PREFERENCES OF MIGRATION MEASUREMENT IN EU-COUNTRIES
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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A SSED Montréal, 6-8 Dec 2007 How should we count? Methodological debates - Session 3.1 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union CES Paris, 12 June 2008 Session 1 The Demographic Impact of Migration 12.06.2008 9 International Migration in Austria 2003-2006 by different time spans Austria immigrationemigrationmigration balance 200320042005200620032004200520062003200420052006 national definition (>90 days) 113. 554 127. 399 117. 822 100. 972 77. 257 76. 817 68. 650 73. 495 36. 297 50. 582 49. 172 27. 477 Long-Term Migration (<365 days) 86. 276 97. 812 88. 477 73. 884 53. 522 52. 026 45. 579 50. 640 32. 754 45. 786 42. 898 23,24 4 in % of national definition 76,076,875,173,269,367,766,468,990,290,587,284,6
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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A SSED Montréal, 6-8 Dec 2007 How should we count? Methodological debates - Session 3.1 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union CES Paris, 12 June 2008 Session 1 The Demographic Impact of Migration 12.06.2008 10 International Migration in Austria 2003/2006 by different time spans
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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A SSED Montréal, 6-8 Dec 2007 How should we count? Methodological debates - Session 3.1 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union CES Paris, 12 June 2008 Session 1 The Demographic Impact of Migration 12.06.2008 11 Problems related to the proposals of the EU- regulation Statistics according to national definitions may differ significantly from those according to the EU-regulation national statistics are usually based on administrative systems whose legal base is not designed to the needs of statistics and cannot easily be adjusted for coherence with the regulation publication of two different figures on international migration likely no consideration of short-term migration Focus on long-term migration brings about methodological difficulties for the allocation of the population on regional level esp. for multiple internal migrations during reference year OPEN POINTS
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S T A T I S T I C S A U S T R I A SSED Montréal, 6-8 Dec 2007 How should we count? Methodological debates - Session 3.1 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union CES Paris, 12 June 2008 Session 1 The Demographic Impact of Migration 12.06.2008 12 Social Statistics and Ethnic Diversity Should we count, how should we count and why? Montréal 6-8 December 2007 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union Submitted by STATISTICS AUSTRIA Stephan Marik-Lebeck www.statistik.at
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