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Climate Change Climate Literacy 101
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Climate Change in the News Indicators of Climate Change in California (August 2013) report of measured 36 "indicators of change" in climate, physical and biological systems National Academy of Sciences Sea Level Rise study (2012) covers the coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington 17” – 66” Sea Level Rise by 2100 Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature Study (BEST) -2012 study validates other Earth surface temperature studies that show current warming is unprecedented in recent geologic history
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Climate or Weather? Definitions WEATHER – short-term (minutes to months) changes in the atmosphere; includes sunshine, rain, snow, thunderstorms, etc. CLIMATE – long-term averages of weather over time
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Climate or Weather? Which are these? It’s really HOT outside right now! It’s really HOT outside right now!
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Climate or Weather? Which are these? It’s really hot outside right now! It’s really hot outside right now! For the past 50 years the average nighttime temperature has been 42 degrees F. For the past 50 years the average nighttime temperature has been 42 degrees F.
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Climate or Weather? Which are these? It’s really hot outside right now! It’s really hot outside right now! For the past 50 years the average nighttime temperature has been 42 degrees F. For the past 50 years the average nighttime temperature has been 42 degrees F. Summer, 2011 was the hottest and driest on record in Texas. Summer, 2011 was the hottest and driest on record in Texas.
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Climate or Weather? Which are these? It’s really hot outside right now! It’s really hot outside right now! For the past 50 years the average nighttime temperature has been 42 degrees F. For the past 50 years the average nighttime temperature has been 42 degrees F. Summer, 2011 was the hottest and driest on record in Texas. Summer, 2011 was the hottest and driest on record in Texas. Explaining Extreme Events of 2011 from a Climate Perspective [Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93:1041-1067] Explaining Extreme Events of 2011 from a Climate Perspective [Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93:1041-1067] http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00021.1 http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00021.1
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Recent Observations Warming Trend Less Snowpack Less snow/more rain; changing snow thresholds Earlier greenup dates; more tree mortalities; enhanced wildfires Animals moving north Earlier snowfed streamflow Mike Dettinger, USGS and SIO/UCSD
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Dan Cayan, SIO, UCSD and USGS, manuscript in prep October - March Sierra Temperature Projections
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Precipitation Snow Water Equivalent 90 th %ile 10 th %ile Sierra Nevada Precipitation Projections October - March Sierra Precipitation Projections Dan Cayan, SIO, UCSD and USGS, manuscript in prep
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DWR Climate Hawks DWR Climate Team currently has 12 full-time staff members plus a UC Berkeley student on contract Staff includes: Assistant Deputy Director Program Manager 4 Regional Climate Change Specialists 2 Engineers 2 Water Use Mitigation Specialists Data Analysis Specialist Executive Administrative Officer
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DWR Climate Hawks "The fearsome climate hawk will crush the climate crisis in its mighty talons!" A Climate Hawk * : is not a ‘rebranded’ environmentalist *Grist, 2010 is concerned about climate change and clean energy takes an aggressive and proactive approach to climate change problems attacks on many fronts (clean energy is just one) is patriotic and believes America should lead the world on this issue
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