1. The Marketing Performance of Illinois Corn and Soybean Producers by Lewis A. Hagedorn, Scott H. Irwin, and Darrel L. Good Suggested citation format: Hagedorn, L. A., S. H. Irwin, and D. L. Good. 2004. “The Marketing Performance of Illinois Corn and Soybean Producers.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

2. Portfolios of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification is Enough? by Silvina M. Cabrini, Brian G. Stark, Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good, and Joao Martines-Filho Suggested citation format: Cabrini S. M., B. G. Stark, S. H. Irwin, D. L. Good, and J. Martines-Filho. 2004. “Portfolios of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification is Enough?” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

3. Options-Based Forecasts of Futures Prices in the Presence of Limit Moves by Thorsten M. Egelkraut and Philip Garcia Suggested citation format: Egelkraut, T. M., and P. Garcia. 2004. “Options-Based Forecasts of Futures Prices in the Presence of Limit Moves.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

4. Are Revisions to USDA Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed? by Olga Isengildina, Scott H. Irwin, and Darrel L. Good Suggested citation format: Isengildina, O., S. H. Irwin, and D. L. Good. 2004. “Are Revisions to USDA Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed?” Proceedings of the 2004 NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

5. Hedging-Effectiveness of Milk Futures Using Value-At-Risk Procedures by Ibrahim Bamba and Leigh Maynard Suggested citation format: Bamba, I., and L. Maynard. 2004. “Hedging-Effectiveness of Milk Futures Using Value-At-Risk Procedures.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

6. Cash Marketing Styles and Performance Persistence of Wheat Producers by Lewis T. Cunningham III, B. Wade Brorsen, and Kim B. Anderson Suggested citation format: Cunningham, L. T. III, B. W. Brorsen, and K. B. Anderson. 2004. “Cash Marketing Styles and Performance Persistence of Wheat Producers.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

7. Weather Derivatives in the Presence of Index and Geographical Basis Risk: Hedging Dairy Profit Risk by Gang Chen and Matthew C. Roberts Suggested citation format: Chen, G., and M. C. Roberts. 2004. “Weather Derivatives in the Presence of Index and Geographical Basis Risk: Hedging Dairy Profit Risk.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

8. Perceptions of Futures Market Liquidity: An Empirical Study of CBOT & CME Traders by Julia W. Marsh, Joost M.E. Pennings, and Philip Garcia Suggested citation format: Marsh J. W., J. M. E. Pennings, and P. Garcia. 2004. “Perceptions of Futures Market Liquidity: An Empirical Study of CBOT & CME Traders.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

9. Accuracy of Grid Pricing: An Evaluation Using Wholesale Values of Fed Cattle by Joseph T. Kovanda, Ted C. Schroeder, and Tommy L. Wheeler Suggested citation format: Kovanda, J. T., T. C. Schroeder, and T. L. Wheeler. 2004. “Accuracy of Grid Pricing: An Evaluation Using Wholesale Values of Fed Cattle.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

10. Price Discovery in Thinly Traded Markets: Cash and Futures Relationships in Brazilian Agricultural Futures Markets by Fabio Mattos and Philip Garcia Suggested citation format: Mattos, F., and P. Garcia. 2004. “Price Discovery in Thinly Traded Markets: Cash and Futures Relationships in Brazilian Agricultural Futures Markets.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

11. Transaction Frequency, Inventories and Hedging in Commodity Processing by Roger A. Dahlgran Suggested citation format: Dahlgran, R. A. 2004. “Transaction Frequency, Inventories and Hedging in Commodity Processing.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

12. Using Futures Prices to Forecast the Season-Average U.S. Corn Price by Linwood Hoffman Suggested citation format: Hoffman L. 2004. “Using Futures Prices to Forecast the Season-Average U.S. Corn Price.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

13. The Performance of Weather Derivatives in Managing Risks of Specialty Crops by Trevor A. Fleege, Timothy J. Richards, Mark R. Manfredo, and Dwight R. Sanders Suggested citation format: Fleege,T. A., T. J. Richards, M. R. Manfredo, and D. R. Sanders. 2004. “The Performance of Weather Derivatives in Managing Risks of Specialty Crops.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

14. Evaluating Forecasts of Discrete Variables: Predicting Cattle Quality Grades by Bailey Norwood, Jayson Lusk, and Wade Brorsen Suggested citation format: Norwood B., J. Lusk, and W. Brorsen. 2004. “Evaluating Forecasts of Discrete Variables: Predicting Cattle Quality Grades.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

15. Re-Considering the Necessary Condition for Futures Market Efficiency: An Application to Dairy Futures by Dwight R. Sanders and Mark R. Manfredo Suggested citation format: Sanders, D. R., and M. R. Manfredo. 2004. “Re-Considering the Necessary Condition for Futures Market Efficiency: An Application to Dairy Futures.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

16. Commodity Prices and Unit Root Tests by Dabin Wang and William G. Tomek Suggested citation format: Wang, D., and W. G. Tomek. 2004. “Commodity Prices and Unit Root Tests.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

17. Optimal Hedging with Views: A Bayesian Approach by Wei Shi and Scott H. Irwin Suggested citation format: Shi, W., and S.H. Irwin. 2004. “Optimal Hedging with Views: A Bayesian Approach.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

18. What Is “the Basis”, How Is It Measured, and Why Does It Matter? by Paul Peterson, Jack Cook, and Charles Piszczor Suggested citation format: Peterson, P., J. Cook, and C. Piszczor. 2004. “What Is ‘The Basis’, How Is It Measured, and Why Does It Matter?” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

19. Contract Market Viability by Gordon C. Rausser and Henry L. Bryant Suggested citation format: Rausser G. C., and H. L. Bryant. 2004. “Contract Market Viability.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

20. Incorporating Current Information into Historical- Average-Based Forecasts to Improve Crop Price Basis Forecasts by Mykel Taylor, Kevin C. Dhuyvetter, and Terry L. Kastens Suggested citation format: Taylor, M., K. C. Dhuyvetter, and T. L. Kastens. 2004. “Incorporating Current Information into Historical-Average-Based Forecasts to Improve Crop Price Basis Forecasts.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

21. Captive Supply Trends and Impacts since the Advent of Mandatory Price Reporting by Clement E. Ward and Jonathan T. Hornung Suggested citation format: Ward, C. E., and J. T. Hornung. 2004. “Captive Supply Trends and Impacts since the Advent of Mandatory Price Reporting.” Proceedings of the NCR- 134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

22. Performance of Selected Pre-harvest and Post-harvest Corn and Soybean Marketing Strategies vs. Alternative Market Benchmarks by E. Neal Blue, Robert N. Wisner, and E. Dean Baldwin Suggested citation format: Blue, E. N., R. N. Wisner, and E. D. Baldwin. 2004. “Performance of Selected Pre-harvest and Post-harvest Corn and Soybean Marketing Strategies vs. Alternative Market Benchmarks.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

23. The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in US Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test by Cheol-Ho Park and Scott H. Irwin Suggested citation format: Park, C.-H., and S. H. Irwin. 2004. “The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in US Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

24. Generalized Hedge Ratio Estimation with an Unknown Model by Jeffrey H. Dorfman and Dwight R. Sanders Suggested citation format: Dorfman, J. H., and D. R. Sanders. 2004. “Generalized Hedge Ratio Estimation with an Unknown Model.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. St. Louis, MO. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].