1. Presented to: By: Date: Federal Aviation Administration Safety Risk Management: What does it mean to me? Sun-&-Fun 2008 Mike Halloran - FAA Safety Team April 8, 2008

2. Federal Aviation Administration 2 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Is aviation 100% Safe?

3. Federal Aviation Administration 3 Sun-N-Fun 2008 What would you think if you saw this? Welcome to Big Blue Airlines When you fly with us you have a 95% chance of surviving the flight?

4. Federal Aviation Administration 4 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Appropriate definition of “safe” for aviation: a)Freedom from harm or risk, b)Trustworthy and reliable, c)In compliance with regulations and standards,

5. Federal Aviation Administration 5 Sun-N-Fun 2008 “Carelessness and overconfidence are more dangerous than deliberately accepted risk” Wilbur Wright, 1901 Wilbur Wright gliding, 1901 Photographs: Library of Congress

6. Federal Aviation Administration 6 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Hazard, Any real, or potential condition or state that can cause; degradation, injury, illness, death or damage to people or property. (FAA System Safety) Risk, Possibility of loss or injury. (Mariam-Webster) Probability and severity of an accident or loss from exposure to various hazards, including injury to people and loss of resources. (FAA System Safety)

7. Federal Aviation Administration 7 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Is Risk objective or subjective? Knowledge of your risk exposure, How much risk you are willing to accept.

8. Federal Aviation Administration 8 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Determining an “Acceptable” level of Risk Shifting the “Tolerable” line to include, ALARP Three categories of Risk.

9. Federal Aviation Administration 9 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Two critical components in determining “Acceptable Risk” Identify the Hazards existing around you. Objectively assess how bad & likely consequences can be.

10. Federal Aviation Administration 10 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Risk Management process Wheel Identify Hazards Analyze Risk Assess Risk Implement Control Develop Controls Validation

11. Federal Aviation Administration 11 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Step #1, the Discovery section -Identify the “System”: - Mission (What’s the goal) -Machine (tools, Equipment, etc). - Man (yourself, & others). - Medium (Environment). - Management (Control). Putting your Goal into Context.

12. Federal Aviation Administration 12 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Step #2, Examining your information -Severity, -Reactive, “How bad has it been in the past?” -Proactive, “How bad can the loss be?” -Probability, -Reactive, “Has this happened before?’ -Proactive: “How close can it become reality?” Honestly, consider the consequences:

13. Federal Aviation Administration 13 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Analyze the Hazard to come up with a Risk.

14. Federal Aviation Administration 14 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Step #3, Make an informed Decision -Acceptable, use the “Happy Loop,” -Not acceptable, proceed on. Is the situation acceptable?

15. Federal Aviation Administration 15 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Step #4, Plan for something better - As-Low-As-Reasonably- Practicable (ALARP). -What’s within your control? -What’s Practicable? -Could be complex, could be simple. What will drive the situation safer?

16. Federal Aviation Administration 16 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Step #5, Walk-the-Talk Safety as the centerpiece for the change. Put that plan in motion!

17. Federal Aviation Administration 17 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Step #6, Meeting the Intent -Did it hit the mark? -What’s the residual risk, is it acceptable? -Did it cause any collateral hazards or risk to appear? Are the controls working?

18. Federal Aviation Administration 18 Sun-N-Fun 2008 All work is a process. (Steps to reach a goal) Because we operate in such a unforgiving environment, shouldn’t these processes be assessed for Risk?

19. Federal Aviation Administration 19 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Errors mark the boundaries of the path to success Success and failure spring from the same psychological roots

20. Federal Aviation Administration 20 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Errors are not intrinsically bad We are “hardwired” to make errors. Bad News Good News

21. Federal Aviation Administration 21 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Human Error + Unforgiving Workplace = Disaster

22. Federal Aviation Administration 22 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Human Error + Unforgiving Workplace = Disaster Increase Awareness Manage

23. Federal Aviation Administration 23 Sun-N-Fun 2008 “Take-Away” #1: People who produce aviation have direct control, and therefore, primary responsibility, for their safety actions, behaviors and outcomes.

24. Federal Aviation Administration 24 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Have a Plan Have a Backup Plan Have a Bailout Plan “Take-Away” #2:

25. Federal Aviation Administration 25 Sun-N-Fun 2008 Thank you