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Myths, Lies and Just Plain Misperceptions The Value of Metrics in Continuous Improvement January 16, 2007
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Myths, Lies and Just Plain Misperceptions l After this presentation, you should understand: w How we use metrics to separate perception from reality w What types of metrics we are looking at w Why developing metrics is important w How we’re using metrics for continuous improvement
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Building a Billy Beane Baseball Team l “Moneyball” l Finding the Right Metrics to Measure l Perception vs. Reality l Changing a Culture l Proving it with Numbers w Not just for Baseball anymore
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Perception vs Reality
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Who Was Billy Beane, Anyway? (Perception) What the Old School Scouts said: l “the Good Face” l “We were looking at talent” l “He’s a five-tool guy” (???) l “I never looked at a single statistic of Billy’s” Billy was signed for $125,000 in 1980 out of High school by the Mets... and would’ve been their first round draft pick (who was that?)
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What Happened to Billy? (Reality) They all missed the clues... l He was still in high school l His BA went from.500 to.300 his senior year l He didn’t know how to fail l He wanted to go to college l He lasted six years in the majors l On Base Percentage =.246 “The draft has never been anything but a …crapshoot. We take 50 guys and celebrate if two of them make it. In what other business is two for 50 a success? If you did that in the stock market, you’d go broke.” Billy Beane
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How Billy Turned Baseball Around As General Manager of the Oakland A’s, he: l Hired a Harvard grad to run the stats l Looked at college prospects instead of H.S. l Chose OBP* as the key performance indicator l Determined a guy has to look good on paper, not just look good *On Base Percentage “We’re not selling jeans here.” Billy Beane
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Myths, Lies and Just Plain Misperceptions What are our customers saying? What are 2 nd level teams saying? How do we separate fact from fiction? What metrics will help us get better?
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Myths, Lies and Just Plain Misperceptions (Perception) l We consistently assign tickets late to 2 nd level teams l We have a lot of reopened tickets l Roll Over No Answer is high; we are unavailable to our customers l Tickets assigned >= 5 times are due to misassignment l Is there a problem with unassigned tickets? At the desk? 2 nd Level? l Analysts change priorities to extend due date
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Myths, Lies and Just Plain Misperceptions (Reality) l Tickets assigned off the Desk after 75% of due date w Approx. 4.72% (632 out of 13,397) - 1 st Level w Approx. 11.24% (85 out of 756) - 2 nd Level w 47% reopened by customer, 29% pending customer response, 26% Tech. Service Desk (TSD) Opportunity l Tickets reopened by the customer w.75% - 1 st Level (51,041 Resolved and 382 reopened) w 1.63% - 2 nd Level (3316 Resolved and 54 reopened) l RONA (Roll Over No Answer) w 5% How are we able to tell this story?
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Myths, Lies and Just Plain Misperceptions (Reality) – Cont’d l Tickets assigned 5 or more times w 109,205 closed YTD w 254 reassigned 5 or more times (.23%) w 20% are responsibility of the TSD l Open, overdue, unassigned tickets w 3 – 10 tickets per week (7 week of 1/12) l Percent of tickets w/ priority changes w 100,237 created YTD w 8,955 Priority change (8.93%) w 2,682 Priority change after due date (2.32%) l Much more to come How are we able to tell this story?
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Step 1 – Select the Statistics Single Most Important Stat that the Oakland A’s “discovered” was: On-Base Percentage (OBP) Derek Jeter's OBP =? Answer:
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Step 2 – Develop the Process Rules of the game to increase OBP: 1. Every batter becomes a leadoff man 2. Every batter should also hit home runs 3. Hitting was less a physical than a mental skill Scoring runs, in the new view, was a process that was routine. Source: Moneyball
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TSD-2006 METRICS Mean time to Resolve High/Medium Goal 10/8 (5) 8/8 On-time Resolution of Requests Level 1 Goal 92% (3) % of Incident Tickets Resolved at the Service Desk Goal 67% (6) 97% 65% Roll Over no Answer Calls (RONA) Goal <5% (ACD) 5% Customer Satisfaction 1 st Level Goal 96% (1) Customer Satisfaction 2 nd Level Goal 96% (2) 96% Initial Ticket Closed Success 1 st Level Goal 92% (7) 99% Initial Ticket Closed Success 2 nd Level Goal 92% (7) 98% % Tickets Reassigned after 75% of Elapsed Due Date 1 st Level Goal 4% (4) % Tickets Reassigned after 75% of Elapsed Due Date 2 nd Level Goal 10% (4) 12% 44 sec. 5% On Track and projected to be on track at year end On Track-recovery feasible or currently on track, year end is uncertain Off Track-recovery not possible Average Speed of Answer Goal 35 sec. (ACD) 2006 Year-End Attend Safety Council Meeting Goal 4/4 Safety performance of OSHA injury rate of zero 0 4/4 99% On-time Resolution of Requests Level 2 Goal 92% (3a)
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Step 1 – Select the Statistics – Assigned w/in 75% of due date
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Step 1 – Select the Statistics – Reopened
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Step 1 – Select the Statistics – Reassigned 5 or more times
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Step 1 – Select the Statistics - Open, Overdue, Unassigned
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Step 2 – Develop the Process l Identify Metrics w Develop Initial Reports w Validate Assumptions w Test Reports w Change Reports This is an investment of our resources’ time
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Step 2 – Develop the Process – cont’d l Weekly Continuous Improvement Meeting w Identify Gaps in Existing Processes w Assign Ownership for Resolution w Proactively Look for Trending w Open, candid forum Do It All Over Again!!! Make it Routine!
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Step 2 – Develop the Process – Cont’d Where are we in the process? l Reports w Manually run w Modularly built w Automated l Sharing Data/Knowledge w Solid foundation first w Show other teams w Leaders, not followers
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Step 3 – Efficiently win games Improvements made for us: l Better visibility into overdue, coming due tickets l Better visibility into our queues l Better visibility into the “Dr. House” hard cases l Greater accountability for vendors l Look at each ticket that was mishandled and determine action plan The Whole Process is designed to help us get better
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Step 3 – Efficiently win games – cont’d Improvements made for our customers: l Better availability to our customers w/ focus on RONA l Understanding reopened ticket reasons l Being an advocate for our customers’ concerns l Understanding the relationship between assigned late, reassigned, and reopened The Whole Process is designed to help us get better
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Are we hitting our targets? l After this presentation, you should understand: w How we use metrics to separate perception from reality w What types of metrics we are looking at w Why developing metrics is important w How we’re using metrics for continuous improvement
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The End
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