1. Baseline and MTFR scenarios EECCA and Balkan countries Janusz Cofala and Stefan Astrom

2. Emissions of air pollutants – Belarus, Moldova and Balkan countries NOx SO2

3. Emissions of air pollutants – Belarus, Moldova and Balkan countries, kilotons PM2.5 VOC

4. Emissions of air pollutants – Belarus, Moldova and Balkan countries NH3

5. Emissions of air pollutants – Russia and Ukraine, kilotons NOxSO2PM2.5

6. Emissions of air pollutants – Russia and Ukraine VOCNH3

7. Emissions by CORINAIR SNAP 1 category. Million tons, 2000 and 2020 Baseline and MFR scenarios (EECCA and Balkan countries)

8. Emission control costs (all air pollutants) by country, billion Euro

9. Emission control costs (all air pollutants) by CORINAIR SNAP 1 category. Billion Euro

10. Life years lost (YOLLs) by country, million

11. Loss of life expectancy YOLLs (2000 = 100)

12. Exceedance of critical loads for eutrophication (2000 = 100%) Total exceedance EECCA + Balkan in 2000 – 2.2 million km 2

13. Loss of life expectancy - Europe 2000 BL 2020 MTFR 2020

14. Summary and conclusions for majority of countries the baseline emissions of air pollutants are likely to decrease compared with 2000 levels the exception is ammonia, where the emissions even increase for some countries because of less stringent current legislation, potential to reduce emissions from EECCA and Balkan countries is higher than in the EU Member States implementation of stricter controls on emissions from the EECCA and Balkan countries will bring important benefits for human health and for vegetation not only in these countries but in the whole Europe difference between the baseline and the MTFR scenario can be used to determine cost-efficient reduction levels optimized scenarios will be discussed in a separate presentation

15. Details by country CIAM report 1/2011 –http://gains.iiasa.ac.at/images/stories/meetings/TFIAM39/CIA M2011-1-v12.pdfhttp://gains.iiasa.ac.at/images/stories/meetings/TFIAM39/CIA M2011-1-v12.pdf GAINS online –http://gains.iiasa.ac.at/http://gains.iiasa.ac.at/