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Published byKarin Joan Gallagher Modified over 9 years ago
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Compilation of ITGS indices: New method implemented in Denmark Anette Hertz, Head of section, Statistics Denmark (ahz@dst.dk)
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Why interested in a new method Looking for ways to improve the indices A description of the new index compilation system The old vs the new index What is next? Agenda 2
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Lack of documentation of the old system The system has had a sort of black box character The accuracy of the index have been questioned by our users Why interested in a new method 3
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We wish to reduce volatility and “know” our compilation system Index calculation on more homogenous groups will reduce volatility Inspired by our Finnish collegues we decided to use company level data That is we do outlier detection at PSI level as well as the index computations Looking for ways to improve the indices 4
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All records with a value=1 CN codes in chapter 98 and 99 Industrial plants, vessels and aircrafts CN codes with supplementary units: -Kg 90% sdt, kg/net eda, kg P2O5, kg NAOH, kg KOH, kg N, kg K2O, kg H2O2, GBq, gi F/S, ce/el, kg met.am., kg C5H1 Exemptions from the indices 6
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Outlier detection 7
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Chained fisher index 8
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From base index to total index and chaining 9
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Handling volatile indices 10
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The old index series started in 1995, the new will start in 2005 Indices at flow*CN*PSI*country instead of flow*CN*country A separate outlier detection at micro data level Published total indices as well as 1- and 2-digit SITC, also 3-digit SITC for certain groups as opposed to BEC and KONJ We can exclude observations from the indices until they have been verified The old vs the new index 11
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Calculation of terms of trade Integrate the validation of extreme outliers in the clerical workers daily tasks New system hopefully in production from November 2014 What is next? 12
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Thank you for your attention Questions?
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