1. Climate emergency

2. The good news... and the bad… An artist asked the gallery owner if there had been any interest in his paintings on display at that time. "I have good news and bad news, "the owner replied. "The good news is that a gentleman inquired about your work and wondered if it would appreciate in value after your death. When I told him it would, he bought all 15 of your paintings. "That's wonderful!" the artist exclaimed. "What's the bad news?"

3. "The man was your doctor."

4. So… the bad news, followed by the good news….

5. Are things hotting up? The “false debate” and who’s behind it Global warming and its impacts Why things are getting worse Effects on global populations Solutions – effective and ineffective The need for civil society campaigning – don’t leave it to the “experts”!

6. Are things hotting up?

10. A “staggering” new study (Boyce et al.2010) from Canadian researchers has shown that warmer seawater has reduced phytoplankton, the base of the marine food chain, by 40% since 1950… roughly 1% per year

11. Phytoplankton are 50% of the basic energy of the earth’s food chain…

12. So climate change is not just a prediction – it’s happening now! But it will get worse if we fail to act….

13. Closer to home..

14. Lower Lakes and Coorong

15. Great Barrier Reef - most coral dead by 2050: Queensland University’s Centre for Marine Studies

16. The “false debate” and who’s behind it

17. “There is no debate” 22,000 peer reviewed climate articles per year… not one denies climate change.

18. “Climate denial is the preserve of the lunar right…”

19. “Fossil fuel mafia”

21. Think tanks

22. Business-Managed Democracy “Business-managed democracies are those in which the political and cultural arrangements are managed in the interests of business.” Sharon Beder, 2009.

23. Global warming and its impacts

24. 4 degrees likely by 2055; highly probable by 2070. What will 4 degrees look like?.. In your native country? Here?

26. MIT April 2009: 5.1 degrees by 2090s

31. Wilkins Ice Shelf 2009

32. 70% of Earth’s land surface desert by 2025 - currently 40%. (UN Desertification Report 2009, cited in Foster 2009)

33. 40% of Africa’s arable land threatened by the end of the century in a 4 degree scenario

35. Why things are getting worse US Energy Information Administration 2010

36. Despite all the talk and information,Kyoto Protocols, and carbon trading schemes carbon keeps entering the atmosphere at an increasing rate: 1990s – 2% growth per year 2000s – 3% 2011 – 5% (IEA 2011) … why..???

37. Basic law of capital : accumulate! Money – Commodity - Money

38. Capital must keep expanding – and will inevitably collide with the ecosphere. 3% growth = 1600% by 2100…….25600% by 2200 Sustainable capitalism.. An oxymoron?

39. World GDP under capitalism 1750 $125,000,000,000 1950 $ 4,000,000,000,000 2000 $ 40,000,000,000,000 2010 $ 50,000,000,000,000 (Harvey 2010)

42. GDP by end of century - cf. population! (Garnaut 2008)

43. How many will survive/die if temperatures rise by 4 degrees?

44. Effects on global populations

45. Professor Kevin Anderson, director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change (UK), believes only around 10 per cent of the planet's population – around half a billion people – will survive if global temperatures rise by 4C.

46. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:150 million environmental refugees would exist by 2050. coastal flooding, shoreline erosion and agricultural degradation were seen as major factors contributing to bulk of environmental refugees.

47. The International Organisation for Migration: one billion people could be 'environmentally displaced from their original habitat'