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Dr Maurice Mullard 6 November 2009
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World Bank and UN argument that global is good for the poor World Bank yardstick of $1 a day to measure poverty – see Debate Ravillon Pogge and Dollar and Kray HDI measure and per capita GDP see IMF debates on HDI
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Increases in inequalities in OECD since 1990s highest inequalities US UK Gini coefficients– Transatlantic debate Atkinson Wage dispersions trade competition technology and policy choices Unemployment benefits and medical cover Obama package Poverty in the developed economies exclusion low pay threat of outsourcing manual jobs
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Economic histories – UK tariffs protection, the idea of infant industries also the US Model Japan, Germany. The pressures for free markets The influence of MNCs voluntary codes OECD and UN only codes
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Understand the nature of elites first and the implications for inequality Research on corruption – clientele politics Passivity of welfare states us the poor Elites benefit from status quo Good Governance
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80 per cent of people are farmers living on less than 2 dollars per day EU 80 per cent self sufficient in food EU and US subsidies to agriculture failure in Africa to invest in agriculture spillover effect of cheap food imports Restriction on food exports Higher food prices and the price of oil Importance of food futures
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OECD Area approx 15 per cent food items have been rising at 35 – 100 per cent – cereals and rice Poor Countries food around 60 per cent of average incomes Economics of food are higher food prices good for farmers? Is there a politics of food
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Both Countries emerge as democracy after military rule All farmers are small farmers subsistence rather than agro business Farmers receive subsidies for fertilizers Lack of infrastructure roads technology Ethiopia great potential for growing food for export but too poor to develop Saudi Arabia buying tracts of lands for agriculture Will this benefit Ethiopia?
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Ethiopia is land of contrast. Second most populous country in Sub- Saharan Africa with a population of 67 million. Nigeria is the biggest country 25 per cent of population of Africa live in Nigeria approx 140 million Both countries have long history, mosaic (mixture) of peoples and diverse cultures. Muslim and Christian Sharia Law
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Agriculture future markets Bring marginal land into food production Higher food prices pay farmers more China and India changing diets Packaging and waste Food and shelter as human rights The Millennium Development Goals PRSPs
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World population 6 billion 800 million affluent consumers 2.2 billion 2 and 1 dollar a day 1 billion live in 59 countries Collier thesis on Good Governance Rising prices of raw materials oil iron ore lack of transparency in government contracts
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