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CBRFC June 2010 Water Supply Webinar 1 pm, June 7, 2010 Greg Smith These slides: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/present/present.php PLEASE MUTE YOUR PHONES
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Outline May Weather Review Any Snow Left? Weather / Climate forecast Water Supply Forecasts Peak Flows/Current Situation Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/pub2/map/html/cbrfc.6.2010.html Sports
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Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/precip/qpe/mapsum/mapsum.cgi??cbrfc?M?2009?02
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Snow cover decrease between May 4 th and June 4 th www.nohrsc.noaa.gov
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Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?scon=checked Snow: May 6 (above) June 4 (right)
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Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open Snow: Upper Green Basin (above Flaming Gorge)
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Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open Snow: Colorado Mainstem (above Cameo)
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Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open Snow: San Juan Basin
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Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open Snow: Bear River
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Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open Snow: Six Creeks in Salt Lake County
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Maximum Temperatures Sunday June 6 th
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Forecast Precipitation Web Reference: www.hpc.ncep.noaa.govwww.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov Currently - Very warm temperatures 10-20 degrees above normal Grand Junction a record 101 yesterday (normal 84) Increasingly active weather as the week progresses. Cooler/Wet weekend possible June 7-12 Total
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Precipitation Forecast Now through June 14th
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El Nino Update Web Reference: http://www.cpc.noaa.gov and iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSOhttp://www.cpc.noaa.gov
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Chance for a La Nina developing by late summer of fall ?
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Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/climate/climoForecasts.cgi June-July-August June
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Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked June 1, 2010 Water Supply Forecasts Highlights: May stream volumes below average most areas (exception the Virgin) Apr-Jul volume forecasts decreased slightly Duchesne, Sevier, and San Juan. Yampa/Little Snake near-above average. Little Change Elsewhere
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Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked
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Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked and waterwatch.usgs.govwww.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked
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Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked and Waterwatch.usgs.govwww.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked
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Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked
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Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked and waterwatch.usgs.govwww.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked
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Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked and waterwatch.usgs.govwww.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked
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Online Publication Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/pub2/map/html/cpub.php
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Peak Flows: Refer to our active web page. Higher elevation northern rivers peaking over the next 2-3 days. Much above average temperatures have accelerated snow melt resulting in flood issues. (In Red) Thundershowers may further enhance flows. Past snow melt peaks: Virgin/San Juan & lower elevations Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov
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Active Hydrographs – Short Term Peak Forecasts
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More Resources www.cbrfc.noaa.gov Wateroutlook.nwrfc.noaa.gov Podcast versions of webinars available (CBRFC homepage -> podcasts 2010 forecast verification webinar and 2011 look ahead webinars will be scheduled in October / November
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CBRFC Open House Objective: Improve understanding / communication of forecast process and forecast usage August 18, 2010 – Lower Basin Focused section: Aug 19 – Upper Basin Focused section: Aug 17 Salt Lake City, UT More details to come www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/openhouse.html
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Kevin Werner CBRFC Service Coordination Hydrologist Phone: 801.524.5130 Email: kevin.werner@noaa.govkevin.werner@noaa Feedback, Questions, Concerns always welcome….
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