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Natural resource applications of the phenology data and information housed in the National Phenology Database Erin Posthumus and the Staff of the National.

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Presentation on theme: "Natural resource applications of the phenology data and information housed in the National Phenology Database Erin Posthumus and the Staff of the National."— Presentation transcript:

1 Natural resource applications of the phenology data and information housed in the National Phenology Database Erin Posthumus and the Staff of the National Coordinating Office, USA National Phenology Network

2 Phenology Informs Resource Management Indicator of biological responses to climate change Informs: Abundance and distribution of species Functioning of ecosystems (e.g. carbon cycling) Ecosystem services (e.g. pollination) Enquist et al. 2014 Int J Biometeorol

3 What is USA-NPN all about… Advance science Inform management Communicate & connect Collect Store Share phenology data, data products & information Ganguly et al. 2010 Mean growing season length (d) 2001-2006

4 USA-NPN Capacity USA-NPN Standard Protocols National Phenology Database Data Products Non-standard or Historical data

5 Types of Phenology Data Collected Event ActivityReproductionDevelopment Day of year Status & Abundance Status

6 >6M observation records > 8,000 sites Primarily 2009-present >1,000 plant and animal taxa Standardized protocols (Denny et al., 2014) QA/QC documented OMB Control #: 1028-0103 www.nn.usanpn.org

7 Quality Assurance/Quality Control Available at www.usanpn.org/pubs/reports

8 Volunteers contribute ~$2.5B annually to biodiversity research Scientific value often under estimated “Good citizen science gets us fine grain, broad extent data we can't collect, or afford to collect, any other way,” - author Julia Parrish Quality Assurance/Quality Control

9 Density of phenology records curated by USA-NPN 2009 - May 2015

10 Data Download Tool www.usanpn.org/results/data

11 Data structure Raw data: Summarized data: SpeciesLat/LongDOYYearBreaking leaf buds? Acer rubrum38.76N, 121.8WJan 312015N Acer rubrum38.76N, 121.8WFeb 162015N Acer rubrum38.76N, 121.8WMar 32015Y SpeciesLat/LongYearBreaking leaf buds – first Yes Breaking leaf buds – days since last No Acer rubrum38.76N, 121.8W2015Mar 315

12 Red maple/Breaking leaf buds (2014) Red maple/Open flowers (2014) Data visualization

13 From the National Phenology Database

14 Spring leaf unfolding triggered more by daytime temps than nighttime temps Piao et al., 2015 USA-NPN data: Leaf-out dates Syringa spp. 35 sites 1982-2011

15 From the National Phenology Database

16 Yue et al., 2015 USA-NPN data: 52 species 1,147 sites 1982-2012

17 From the National Phenology Database

18 Mazer et al., 2015 USA-NPN data: 4 species 2011-2014 NPS units across CA

19 Gridded maps of spring onset based on PRISM (1981- 2014; 4km) 7-day forecasts for start of spring (2.5 km) Accumulated temperature maps, anomaly maps Planned for spring 2016:

20 Monahan et al. in prep. How has the arrival of spring changed in natural protected areas?

21 Applications: Will spring be extreme relative to other years at a site? Lead time to look out for: Potential for mismatch between interacting species Potential impacts to species that visitors focus on (eg, cherry blooms)

22 Alliaria petiolata Photo credit: Jody Shimp, Illinois Department of Natural Resources from Invasive.org. Applications: Invasive species control

23 Applications: Wildfire Season An unusually early and warm spring can mean a more intense fire season Photo credit: Denver Post

24 Applications: Getting professional and citizen observers out at the right time Catching phenophases of interest Rare plant monitoring and seed collection

25 Image: northernpecans.blogspot.com Accumulated temperature (GDD) Time Jan 1 No risk of frost damage More risk of frost damage Budburst Applications: Mobilizing to protect nut trees

26 Access those data! www.usanpn.org/data/visualizations Red maple/Breaking leaf buds (2014) Red maple/Open flowers (2014)

27 We’ll promote your research Need data? Consider a campaign… Research partnerships

28 The more than 6,000 dedicated volunteer observers participating in Nature’s Notebook Acknowledgements

29 Thank you! Connect with USA-NPN Sign up for a bimonthly e- newsletter for phenology observers Sign up for a bimonthly e-newsletter for our Partners Sign up for quarterly e- newsletter for FWS staff and Friends group members Join the Local Phenology Leaders listserv Find us on Facebook Contact: Erin Posthumus erin@usanpn.org 520-621-1670

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