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GULFSTREAM CROSSINGS An Ocean and Weather Briefing Dane and Jenifer Clark
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Warm Eddy Formation, stable instabilities, rower stuck in eddy
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Cold Eddy formation, last up to 2 years, runaway barge
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OCEAN FEATURE MOVEMENTS OVER TIME
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Miami WERA Surface Currents
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ALTIMETRY ANOMALY ANALYSIS SHOWING EDDY SEA HEIGHT ABOVE AND BELOW MEAN
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DELFT OCEAN CURRENT MODEL From Satellite Altimetry Data
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UMASS/Harvard Model
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UMASS/Harvard Model Vectors/SST’s
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WEATHER DOMINATES OCEAN FOR 1982 NEWPORT RACE! 1982 was a spectacular race that was postponed for 2 days due to weather
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UNUSUALLY CLEAR IMAGERY FOR MARION RACE 1997
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OCEAN FEATURES ANALYSIS FOR PREVIOUS IMAGE
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MARION BERMUDA 1997 SUGGESTED ROUTES
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Tori Murden’s victory row across Atlantic Ocean, first woman to solo Atlantic East to West, 1999
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Hazardous Gulfstream Weather
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Tropical Cyclone Formation Regions
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Gulfstream Waterspouts
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1998 WHITBREAD ROUTES, GALE FORCE WINDS OPPOSING CURRENT
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Square wave pattern the result of wind opposing ocean current
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GULFSTREAM HAZARD SCALE GULFSTREAM HAZARD SCALE (SQUARE-WAVE CONDITIONS) CAT RISK* WN/OP/CUR FETCH SIG WV HEIGHT EXWAVES 1 LOW 20-25 KTS 1 DAY 5-10 FEET > 15 FEET 2 MODERATE 20-25 KTS 2-3+ DAYS 8-15 FEET > 20 FEET 3 HIGH 25-35 KTS 1 DAY 13-18 FEET > 30 FEET 25-35 KTS 2-3+ DAYS 15-25 FEET > 40 FEET 4 VERY HIGH 35-45 KTS 1 DAY 20-30 FEET > 50 FEET 35-45 KTS 2-3+ DAYS 25-35 FEET > 60 FEET 5 EXTREME 45-60+ KTS 1 DAY 30-45 FEET >70 FEET 45-60+ KTS 2-3+ DAYS 35-50 FEET >80 FEET RISK - PROBABILITY OF ENCOUNTERING AN EXTREME WAVE WITH A “SQUARE WAVE” OR STEEP-FACE STRUCTURE (A RECOGNIZED HAZARD TO NAVIGATION) WN/OP/CUR – WIND OPPOSING CURRENT (BOTH MAIN GULFSTREAM AND EDDIES) FETCH – DISTANCE AND DURATION OF THE WIND PATTERN SIG WV HEIGHT – SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT (INTERNATIONAL SCALE) EXWAVES – EXTREME WAVE POTENTIAL AFTER SEVERAL HOURS IN THESE CONDITIONS
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Norwegian Dawn Apr 05– MIA to NY
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GULFSTREAM HAZARD SCALE GULFSTREAM HAZARD SCALE (SQUARE-WAVE CONDITIONS) CAT RISK* WN/OP/CUR FETCH SIG WV HEIGHT EXWAVES 1 LOW 20-25 KTS 1 DAY 5-10 FEET > 15 FEET 2 MODERATE 20-25 KTS 2-3+ DAYS 8-15 FEET > 20 FEET 3 HIGH 25-35 KTS 1 DAY 13-18 FEET > 30 FEET 25-35 KTS 2-3+ DAYS 15-25 FEET > 40 FEET 4 VERY HIGH 35-45 KTS 1 DAY 20-30 FEET > 50 FEET 35-45 KTS 2-3+ DAYS 25-35 FEET > 60 FEET 5 EXTREME 45-60+ KTS 1 DAY 30-45 FEET >70 FEET 45-60+ KTS 2-3+ DAYS 35-50 FEET >80 FEET RISK - PROBABILITY OF ENCOUNTERING AN EXTREME WAVE WITH A “SQUARE WAVE” OR STEEP-FACE STRUCTURE (A RECOGNIZED HAZARD TO NAVIGATION) WN/OP/CUR – WIND OPPOSING CURRENT (BOTH MAIN GULFSTREAM AND EDDIES) FETCH – DISTANCE AND DURATION OF THE WIND PATTERN SIG WV HEIGHT – SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT (INTERNATIONAL SCALE) EXWAVES – EXTREME WAVE POTENTIAL AFTER SEVERAL HOURS IN THESE CONDITIONS
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April 07- Storm – SubTrop Andrea 4 boats lost, 9 rescued, 4 died, 21 containers overboard
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April 2007
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Extreme Wave
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Wrong Place – Wrong Time!!
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