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A sea of Opportunities A SWOT of the Future of Our Seas Luc van Hoof January 12 th, 2016
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Today’s menu The Big Challenge Use of the seas! SWOT 2050? 2050!
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Planet EARTH??? 70% of our world is ocean
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The Challenge Feeding the world Renewable energy production Blue Growth
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To feed 9-10 billion people by 2050 Blue Revolution
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Thinking of the Sea Several images come to mind
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Geographical area
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Ecosystem
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Political Area
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Ruimte voor Scheepvaart Zandwinning Windenergie Olie & gas winning Natuurbescherming Aquacultuur Recreatievissers Visserij Watersport Defensie Kabels & Leidingen Zandsuppletie
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Future use of the Sea World demand for fish & fish products Aquaculture Recreational Fisheries Marine Tourism Shipping Wind farms Oil & Gas Conservation
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Its getting crowded More activities out at sea More sectors More stakes More stakeholders Globalisation
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Strengths Lots of space Lots of water Lots of resources A lot of potential ● Food, feed, pharmaceuticals, energy, transport, ingredients, materials, minerals, nature, climate buffer Lots of possibilities
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Weaknesses Not all waters are equal coastal zone vs high seas Lack of an ocean knowledge base Also on the potential economic challenges Resilience but tipping points Open Access Jurisdictions Lack of management of critical marine resources Governance, regulation and ocean policy
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Opportunities: Blue Growth (1) Aquaculture Seagriculture Coastal tourism Marine biotechnology Ocean energy Seabed mining
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Opportunities: Ocean Food production Fisheries? ● Discards & Management Sea ranching Mari-culture Building with Nature
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Options Produce more food Sustainable Intensification Ecosystem approaches Ocean production More efficient use of food there is no such thing as waste Alternative sources of proteins “Ingredientisation”
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Major threats to the world's oceans (1) Unsustainable fishing threat to ocean life, habitats, livelihoods and food security
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Major threats to the world's oceans (2) Inadequate protection MPAs, working policies
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Major threats to the world's oceans (3) Tourism & Urban Development Coastlines and the coastal zone
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Major threats to the world's oceans (4) Shipping oil spills, ship groundings, anchor damage, and the dumping of rubbish, ballast water, and oily waste
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Major threats to the world's oceans (5) Oil & gas prospecting and drilling windfarms Oil spills What to do with abandoned equipment
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Major threats to the world's oceans (6) Pollution sewage, garbage, fertilizers, pesticides, industrial chemicals, plastics
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Major threats to the world's oceans (7) Aquaculture pollution the farms discharge, escaped farmed fish, increased parasite loads, and the need to catch wild fish as feed.
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Major threats to the world's oceans (8) Climate Change Coral bleaching, rising sea levels, changing species distributions
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So where will we be in 2050?
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2050? Marine Dead Zones
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2050! seaweed statice samphire spirulina
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