1. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Slide 1 Takao Onoda International Energy Agency Takao.onoda@iea.org 4 th informal group meeting Environmentally Friendly Vehicles (EFV), 22-23 April 2009 Slide 1 IEA work on Improving Energy Efficiency in Transport Working paper No. EFV-04-08 (GRPE Informal Group on EFV, 4th Meeting, 22/23 April 2009)

2. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Slide 2 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 198019902000201020202030 Mtoe Other renewables Hydro Nuclear Biomass Gas Coal Oil World energy demand expands by 45% between now and 2030 – an average rate of increase of 1.6% per year – with coal accounting for more than a third of the overall rise World primary energy demand in the Reference Scenario

3. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Slide 3 WEO 2008 Reference Scenario: Incremental oil demand, 2006-2030 -200 0 200 400 600 800 TransportIndustryNon-energy use Other Mtoe Rest of world Other Asia India China OECD Around three-quarters of the projected increase in oil demand comes from transportation

4. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Slide 4 Reductions in energy-related CO 2 emissions in the climate-policy scenarios While technological progress is needed to achieve some emissions reductions, efficiency gains and deployment of existing low-carbon energy accounts for most of the savings 20 25 30 35 40 45 200520102015202020252030 Gigatonnes Reference Scenario550 Policy Scenario450 Policy Scenario CCS Renewables & biofuels Nuclear Energy efficiency 550 Policy Scenario 450 Policy Scenario 54% 23% 14% 9%

5. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Slide 5 IEA Work on Vehicle Efficiency Policy (1) 25 Energy Efficiency Policy Recommendations by IEA (2008)  IEA recommends action on: ■ Fuel-efficient tyres ■ Mandatory fuel efficiency standards for light-duty vehicles ■ Fuel economy of heavy-duty vehicles ■ Eco-driving Information papers:  Fuel-Efficient Road Vehicle Non-Engine Components - Potential Savings and Policy Recommendations (2007) Fuel-Efficient Road Vehicle Non-Engine Components - Potential Savings and Policy Recommendations  Review of International Policies for Vehicle Fuel Efficiency (2008).

6. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Slide 6 IEA Work on Vehicle Efficiency Policy (2) Workshops, within a wide range of advisory and promotional tasks designed to help countries to understand and implement the policy recommendations.  Three workshops on vehicle components: Energy Efficient Tyres: Improving the On-Road Performance of Motor Vehicles, Paris, November, 2005. Energy Efficient Tyres: Improving the On-Road Performance of Motor Vehicles, Energy Efficiency Through Better Car Components, Paris, June,2006. Energy Efficiency Through Better Car Components Cooling Cars with Less Fuel, Paris, October, 2006. Cooling Cars with Less Fuel  An international workshop on Fuel Efficiency Policies for Heavy-Duty Vehicles, Paris, June 2007.Fuel Efficiency Policies for Heavy-Duty Vehicles  Workshop on Ecodriving, Paris, November 2007. Workshop on Ecodriving

7. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Slide 7 IEA Work on Vehicle Efficiency Policy (3) Forthcoming publication on transport policies and technologies (to be published in mid 2009). Objective: Identify policies and measures to improve on- road fuel efficiency. The contents will cover:  All transport modes such as road, rail, marine and air  Various energy sources such as fossil fuels, biofuels, hydrogen and electricity  Technologies to improve energy efficiency  Policies to foster technology improvement and shift markets more energy efficient On-road fuel efficiency Tested fuel efficiency Fuel efficiency of components Driving behavior

8. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Slide 8 Global Fuel Economy Initiative IEA and its partners launched the “Global Fuel Economy Initiative” on 4 March, 2009 in Geneva. Partners:  OECD International Transport Forum  UN Environment Program  FIA Foundation This initiative features four key elements:  Data development and analysis of fuel economy potentials by country, region  Support for national and regional policy-making efforts  Cooperation with stakeholders (e.g. vehicle manufacturers)  Information campaigns around the world to educate consumers, stakeholders

9. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Slide 9 Conclusions Without policy interventions, CO 2 emissions and energy use in many countries will increase significantly by 2050 A number of effective policies and efficient technologies for CO 2 reduction are already in place It is important to share and implement these “Best Practices” worldwide EFV would help reduction of CO 2 emissions and energy use through promotion of fuel efficient vehicles

10. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Slide 10 References Papers: 25 Energy Efficiency Policy Recommendations by IEA http://www.iea.org/G8/2008/G8_EE_recommendations.pdf Fuel-Efficient Road Vehicle Non-Engine Components http://www.iea.org/Textbase/publications/free_new_Desc.asp?PUBS_ID=1977 Review of International Policies for Vehicle Fuel Efficiency http://www.iea.org/Textbase/Publications/free_new_Desc.asp?PUBS_ID=2049 Workshops: Energy Efficiency Through Better Car Components http://www.iea.org/Textbase/Papers/2008/cd_energy_efficiency_policy/5-Transport/5-vehicle_efficiency.pdf Cooling Cars with Less Fuel http://www.iea.org/textbase/work/workshopdetail.asp?WS_ID=247 Energy Efficient Tyres: Improving the On-Road Performance of Motor Vehicles http://www.iea.org/Textbase/work/workshopdetail.asp?WS_ID=227 An international workshop on Fuel Efficiency Policies for Heavy-Duty Vehicles http://www.iea.org/textbase/work/workshopdetail.asp?WS_ID=306 Workshop on Ecodriving http://www.internationaltransportforum.org/Proceedings/ecodriving/ecodriving07.html