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Computational thought is good for business. Senior Symposium: Shende Adam Fariss
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Outline Successful business Economic predictions difficult and imprecise Archaic Traditional Economic Theory: Concerned with what not how? Economic Instincts Understanding of decision-making process Is thought computational? Human Capabilities Traditional Economic Theory vs. Computational thought Exploitation of information Past Experience Rationale Could a program prioritize rationale? Effects Forced smoothing of cycles Predictions Control Negative?
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Business Success Ability to predict Accuracy pays Largely based on “gut feeling” or “Business Sense” Economic principles very influential Archaic
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Economics “Traditionally… concerned with what decisions are made rather than how they are made” (Simon 494) Predicting and extrapolating Accuracy Economic instincts? “Natural selection built the decision-making machinery in human minds” (Cosmides and Tooby 328) Ex: Invisible hand
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Computational Thought Cosmides and Tooby: “The Brain is complex computational device” (pp. 328) Evolution created inherent hard wiring Baum: “The mind could not be just a computer program” (pp. 76) Semantics Understanding = Compression Human capability
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Traditional Economic theory vs. Computational Thought Basis: Exploitation Experience Rationale Intentional Irrationality “risk preferring…males” (Robson 209) - Gambles Herd Mentality vs. self preservation How would a program differentiate?
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Effects Existence of Economic/Business instincts would allow: Smoothing of cycles Computers could make accurate predictions for humans Proactive Control of economy/people Negative?
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Work Cited Answers.com. Investment. Invisible Hand. 2006. Cosmides, Leda; John Tooby. The American Economic Review. Better than Rational: Evolutionary Psychology and the Invisible Hand. Vol. 84, No. 2. pp. 327-332. May, 1994. Baum, Eric B. What is thought? Massachusetts: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2004. Damasio, Antonio. The Feeling of What Happens. “Body and Emotion in the making of Consciousness.” Florida: Harcourt inc. 1999 Jackson, Frank. “Epiphenomenal Qualia” The Philosophical Quarterly Vol. 32, No. 127: April 1982. Robson, Arthur J. The Journal of Economic Perspectives. [Evolution and Human Nature]: Response from Arthur Robson. Vol. 17, No. 2. pp. 209. Spring 2003. Simon, Herbert A. The Bell Journal of Economics. On how to Decide What to Do. Vol. 9, No. 2. pp. 494-507. Autumn, 1978 The Mind. “Thinking.”
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