1. Justice Reinvestment: Convening of Counties Michael Schmidt, Executive Director Oregon Criminal Justice Commission November 10, 2015

3. Why the increase in the October forecast? From the Office of Economic Analysis and October 2015 Forecast Summary: 1.Diminishing impacts from HB 3194 sentencing changes 2.Changes in release profile Slightly longer average estimated length of stay Fewer intakes with an estimated short length of stay (0 to 12 months)

4. Diminishing impacts from sentencing changes:

6. Changes in Release Profile: The average estimated length of stay for all prison intakes has slightly increased

7. Changes in Release Profile: The number of intakes with an estimated length of stay of less than 12 months has gradually declined

8. Statewide Prison Usage All Offenses October 2012 - September 2015

9. Total Prison Intakes

10. Total Prison Months

11. Statewide Prison Usage: M57 Property and Drug Offenses October 2012 - September 2015

12. Prison Intakes

13. Average LOS

14. Total Prison Months

17. Prison Forecasts By Gender

22. Intakes Reduction Goal

23. To avoid additional permanent beds intakes must be reduced A statewide reduction of 25 male intakes a month beginning December 2015 will avoid new permanent beds A statewide reduction of 6 female intakes a month beginning December 2015 will also avoid new permanent beds

24. Central/Eastern Region 3 fewer male intakes a month 1 less female intake a month Central/Eastern: 10% of total prison months

25. NW Coastal Region 3 fewer male intakes a month 1 less female intake a month NW Coastal: 14% of total prison months

26. Southwest Region 4 fewer male intakes a month 1 less female intake a month Southwest: 15% of total prison months

27. Metro Region 15 fewer male intakes a month 3 fewer female intakes a month Metro: 61% of total prison months

28. OSP Minimum is avoided in the 10 year horizon

29. Deer Ridge comes online July 2020 Junction City is avoided in the 10 year horizon

30. Questions? http://www.oregon.gov/CJC

31. Public Safety Task Force FLOYD PROZANSKI Co-chair, Senator District 4 JACKIE WINTERS Co-chair, Senator, District 10 JENNIFER WILLIAMSON Co-chair, Representative, District 36 ANDY OLSON Co-chair, Representative, District 15 RICHARD BARRON Judge, Coos County JULIE FRANTZ Judge, Multnomah County JAY DIXON Commissioner, Benton County ROBERT HERMANN District Attorney, Washington County LANE BORG Public Defender, Multnomah/Washington County JASON MYERS Sheriff, Marion County JOHN TEAGUE Police Chief, Keizer, Marion County SCOTT TAYLOR Community Justice, Multnomah County STEVE DOELL Crime Victims United, Portland, Multnomah County 1. Why is Justice Reinvestment important to you and the organization you represent on the task force? 2. What can you and others in similar positions around the state do to keep Justice Reinvestment working?