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© 2009 Northern Trust Corporationnortherntrust.com FALL FOCUS 2009 INVESTMENT CONFERENCE Alec Harrell, CFA Senior Equity Analyst Non-Bank Financials Initiating Coverage
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2 2009 Fall FOCUS Investment Conference Regulatory Initiatives Should be a Net Positive OTC migration to the exchanges Interest rate swaps, credit default swaps Effort to reduce systemic risk and create greater transparency Position limits within the energy complex Regulatory response to perception of investor manipulation Likely to have limited impact on total volumes If overly restrictive, could see migration of trading to overseas markets CME The leading global derivatives exchange Interest rate platform could see strong recovery in 2010 ICE The early leader in credit default swap clearing Reflation fears could result in increased commodity volatility and volumes Launching Coverage on the Futures Exchanges CME and ICE
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3 2009 Fall FOCUS Investment Conference Asset Managers AUM recovery (market recovery and reallocation toward risk), product mix, operating leverage gains, consolidation (ability to offer spectrum of products) Insurers Capital recovery, opportunistic market share gains, normalized ROEs, multiple recovery, pricing discipline Forthcoming Coverage Asset Managers and Insurers
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© 2009 Northern Trust Corporationnortherntrust.com FALL FOCUS 2009 INVESTMENT CONFERENCE Alec Harrell, CFA Senior Equity Analyst Thank you.
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