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Enrollment History & Forecast 2015-2016 Data supplied by New England School Development Council (NESDEC)

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Presentation on theme: "Enrollment History & Forecast 2015-2016 Data supplied by New England School Development Council (NESDEC)"— Presentation transcript:

1 Enrollment History & Forecast 2015-2016 Data supplied by New England School Development Council (NESDEC)

2 FACTORS AFFECTING ENROLLMENT  Migration, in or out, of the schools;  Retention in the same grade;  Births in the community;  New house construction;  Residential turnover;  Spikes/declines in real estate sales and leases;  Drop-outs, transfers, etc.; and  Economic conditions in tri-state area

3 BIRTH TO KINDERGARTEN RATIOS 2011:1.91 2012:1.61 2013:1.97 2014:1.97 2015:2.03

4 IN-MIGRATION BETWEEN YEAR OF BIRTH AND ACTUAL KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT Birth CohortK EnrollmentDifference 2000 to 2005129182+53 2001 to 2006129210+81 2002 to 200777146+69 2003 to 200893166+73 2004 to 200997158+61 2005 to 2010105159+54 2006 to 201185162+77 2007 to 201272115+43 2008 to 201369136+67 2009 to 201471140+69 2010 to 201561124+63 2011 to 201649116+67

5 REVIEW OF 2015/2016 ENROLLMENT

6 HURLBUTT ELEMENTARY SCHOOL Grade KGrade 1Grade 2 2015-2016 (current) 124141156 2015-2016 (projected) 113151162 Variation+11-10-6

7 Weston Intermediate School Grade 3Grade 4Grade 5 2015-2016 (current) 161186184 2015-2016 (projected) 153188183 Variation+8-2+1

8 Weston Middle School Grade 6Grade 7Grade 8 2015-2016 (current) 190206186 2015-2016 (projected) 194200190 Variation-4+6-4

9 Weston High School Grade 9Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12 2015-2016 (current) 216207206211 2015-2016 (projected) 209200203 Variation+7 +3+8

10 NESDEC PROJECTIONS FOR 2016/2017

11 Hurlbutt Elementary School Grade KGrade 1Grade 2 2015-2016 (current)124141156 2016-2017 (projected) 116136152 Increase/Decrease-8-5-4

12 Pre-School Feedback

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14 Weston Intermediate School Grade 3Grade 4Grade 5 2015-2016 (current)161186184 2016-2017 (projected) 168162192 Increase/Decrease+7-24+8

15 Weston Middle School Grade 6Grade 7Grade 8 2015-2016 (current)190206186 2016-2017 (projected) 192188207 Increase/Decrease+2-18+21

16 Weston High School Grade 9Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12 2015-2016 (current)216207206211 2016-2017 (projected) 185215204 Increase/Decrease-31+8-2-7

17 HISTORICAL AND PROJECTED ENROLLMENT

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