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The Mediterranean Forecasting INGV-Bologna.

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Presentation on theme: "The Mediterranean Forecasting INGV-Bologna."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Mediterranean Forecasting System @ INGV-Bologna

2 MFS systems: The CMEMS Med-MFC and the RITMARE system High resolution atmospheric forcing COSMO-ME (from USAM) Forced with ECMWF atmospheric forcings @1/8 o resolution

3 MFS systems: the components Hydrodynamic Model Wave Model Assimilation Scheme 3DVAR Applications Collection and organization of observations R&D model components Development and maintenance of the production chain and products dissemination Develpment of Applications MFS has a horizontal resolution of 1/16° x 1/16° and 71 z levels (partial steps) Detailed description of the system on Copernicus catalogue (http://marine.copernicus.eu/) Product Quality Evaluation

4 The Mediterranean Monitoring and Forecasting Centre (Med-MFC) of Copernicus Marine Service (CMEMS) 2 products Analyses and Forecast (MEDSEA_ANALYSIS_FORECAST_PHYS_006_001) 6 variables (Potential Temperature, Salinity, Currents, SSH, 2D Stokes Drift Velocity, Wavenumber) Res: 1/16̂°, 72 vertical levels Daily and hourly fields Reanalyses (1987-2013) (MEDSEA_REANALYSIS_PHY_006_009) 4 variables (Potential Temperature, Salinity, Currents, SSH) Res: 1/16̂°, 72 vertical levels Daily and Monthly means http://marine.copernicus.eu/

5 ANALYSIS: Each Tuesday  simulation for the previous 2 weeks atmo. forcing: analysis produced by ECMWF + assimilation correction: satellite data (SLA) + in situ data (XBT, CTD and ARGO) HINDCAST: Every day the initial condition for the forecast cycle are generated by a model simulation for the previous 24hr hours and forced by ECMWF analysis fields FORECAST: Computed for next 10 days forcing the numerical model with ECMWF forecast fields Med-MFC Med currents: the production chain in CMEMS

6 CMEMS Med-MFC Physics: analysis and forecast Validation http://medforecast.bo.ingv.it/

7 CMEMS Med-MFC Physics: analysis and forecast Validation http://calval.bo.ingv.it/

8 CMEMS Med-MFC Physics: re-analysis (1987-2013) Atm Forcing ERA INTERIM 0.75°, 6hr (msl, u10m,v10m,t2m,d2m,precipitations) NEMO v3.2 1/16°, 72 z lev Partial steps Sat SST flux correction Data Assimilation OceanVar T obs (XBT, MBT) TS pairs (CTD, ARGO) SLA (satellite) OUTPUT daily and monthly averages of: Temperature Salinity U and V current components SSH Initial Condition 01/01/1985 SeaDataNet climatology PRE-TRANSIENT (obs<1987)

9 NextData re-analysis (1953-2012) Atm Forcing AMIP-data (1.125°, 12hr) (msl, u10m,v10m,t2m,d2m,precipitations) NEMO v3.2 1/16°, 72 z lev Partial steps Sat SST flux correction Data Assimilation OceanVar T obs (XBT, MBT) TS pairs (CTD, ARGO) SLA (satellite) OUTPUT Daily mean output: Temperature, Salinity 3D Velocities 3D Sea Surface Height Heat, Water and Momentum Fluxes 6hr snapshot Temperature, Salinity 2D Velocities 2D Sea Surface Height Heat, Water and Momentum Fluxes Initial Condition SeaDataNet climatology PRE-TRANSIENT (obs<1987)

10 Applications: Oil Spill

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