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CURRENCY BOARD: TEN YEARS ON GEORGE ANGELOV KALIN HRISTOV
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2 MACROECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK Euro-based currency board since mid 1997 Prudent and predictable fiscal policy oriented towards balanced budget or surplus Withdrawal of the state from the business through large scale privatization of the state owned enterprises Liberalization of the markets – free movement of goods, services and capital Government policy oriented towards improvement of investment climate
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3 CURRENCY BOARD SIX YEARS ON (2003)
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4 CURRENCY BOARD TEN YEARS ON
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5 INFLATION DYMANICS
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6 BULGARIA INFLATION DYNAMICS, 1991-2007 31.6 3.1 9.4 5.8 January 1998 – August 2007 July 1998 – August 2007 469.5307.6May 1991 – December 1997 Standard deviationMeanPeriod
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7 GROWTH PERFORMANCE
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8 GDP per capita, 1990=100
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9 BUDGET DEFICIT (Per cent of GDP)
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10 Investments (GFCF)
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11 CURRENT ACCOUNT DEVELOPMENT
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12 FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
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13 EXCHANGE RATE CHANGE 1991-1997 (USD per BGN)
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14 EXCHANGE RATE CHANGE 1997 -2006 (USD per BGN)
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15 EMPLOYMENT (thousands)
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16 EMPLOYMENT (% of population)
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17 UNEMPLOYMENT
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18 INFLATION AND GROWTH COMPARED TO OTHER NMS, 1991-1997
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19 INFLATION AND GROWTH COMPARED TO OTHER NMS, 1998 - 2006
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20 CURRENT ACCOUNT AND FDI COMPARED TO OTHER NMS, 1991-1997
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21 CURRENT ACCOUNT AND FDI COMPARED TO OTHER NMS, 1998-2006
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22 CURRENT ACCOUNT AND INVESTMENT COMPARED TO OTHER NMS, 1991-1997
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23 CURRENT ACCOUNT AND INVESTMENT COMPARED TO OTHER NMS,1998-2006
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