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Tipping points in the climate system and their predictability Peter Ditlevsen, Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen.

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Presentation on theme: "Tipping points in the climate system and their predictability Peter Ditlevsen, Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen."— Presentation transcript:

1 Tipping points in the climate system and their predictability Peter Ditlevsen, Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen

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3 E. Lorenz, 1969

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10 Ganopolski et al, 2010

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26 M Scheffer et al. Nature 461, 53-59 (2009) doi:10.1038/nature08227 Can tipping points be detected? Critical slowing down indicated by an increase in lag-1 autocorrelation in climate dynamics.

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34 M Scheffer et al. Nature 461, 53-59 (2009) doi:10.1038/nature08227 Can tipping points be detected? Critical slowing down indicated by an increase in lag-1 autocorrelation in climate dynamics.

35 Ditlevsen and Johnsen, GRL, 2010

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37 Ditlevsen, Svensmark and Johnsen, Nature 1996

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43 Ditlevsen, GRL, 1999

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55 Ditlevsen, Paleoceanography, 2009

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