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HMP654 -186- Simulation - Introduction Deterministic vs. Stochastic Models Risk Analysis Random Variables Best Case/Worst Case Analysis What-If Analysis.

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Presentation on theme: "HMP654 -186- Simulation - Introduction Deterministic vs. Stochastic Models Risk Analysis Random Variables Best Case/Worst Case Analysis What-If Analysis."— Presentation transcript:

1 HMP654 -186- Simulation - Introduction Deterministic vs. Stochastic Models Risk Analysis Random Variables Best Case/Worst Case Analysis What-If Analysis Simulation

2 HMP654 -187- Simulation - Introduction Deterministic Inputs Stochastic Inputs ProcessOutput

3 HMP654 -188- Simulation - Random Variables

4 HMP654 -189- Simulation - A Corporate Health Insurance Example Case Problem (R) p. 517

5 HMP654 -190- Simulation - A Corporate Health Insurance Example

6 HMP654 -191- Simulation - A Corporate Health Insurance Example

7 HMP654 -192- Simulation - @Risk Open @Risk file Save @Risk file Change @Risk settings Add selected cells as @Risk outputs Display inputs by outputs table Run Simulation Show main @Risk window

8 HMP654 -193- Simulation - A Corporate Health Insurance Example

9 HMP654 -194- Simulation - A Corporate Health Insurance Example

10 HMP654 -195- Simulation - A Corporate Health Insurance Example

11 HMP654 -196- Simulation - A Corporate Health Insurance Example

12 HMP654 -197- Simulation - A Corporate Health Insurance Example

13 HMP654 -198- Simulation - A Corporate Health Insurance Example

14 HMP654 -199- Simulation - A Corporate Health Insurance Example

15 HMP654 -200- Simulation Spreadsheet Models Develop the model equations and enter them into a spreadsheet Identify input variables that are uncertain Assign a probability distribution to each uncertain input variable Run the model

16 HMP654 -201- Risk Simulation - Applications A Capital Budgeting Example

17 HMP654 -202- Risk Simulation - Applications

18 HMP654 -203- Risk Simulation - Applications

19 HMP654 -204- Risk Simulation - Applications

20 HMP654 -205- Risk Simulation - Applications

21 HMP654 -206- Risk Simulation - Applications

22 HMP654 -207- Risk Simulation - Applications

23 HMP654 -208- Risk Simulation - Applications Sensitivity Analysis

24 HMP654 -209- Risk Simulation - Applications Scenario Analysis

25 HMP654 -210- Risk Simulation - Applications Correlated Inputs

26 HMP654 -211- Risk Simulation - Applications

27 HMP654 -212- Risk Simulation - Applications

28 HMP654 -213- Risk Simulation - Applications

29 HMP654 -214- Simulation An Inventory Control Example Case Problem - (R) p. 539

30 HMP654 -215- Simulation An Inventory Control Example

31 HMP654 -216- Simulation An Inventory Control Example

32 HMP654 -217- Simulation An Inventory Control Example

33 HMP654 -218- Simulation An Inventory Control Example

34 HMP654 -219- Simulation An Inventory Control Example

35 HMP654 -220- Simulation An Inventory Control Example

36 HMP654 -221- Simulation An Inventory Control Example


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