1. Budget 2016 Funding Ministry and Mission in our diocese

2. Where we are now – 2015 outlook Parish share collection forecast to be at budget levels Forecast is for a deficit position for the year (£97k)

3. Projected and Desired Numbers – Resourcing the Future

4. Attendance Projection: Under the ‘Steady State Model’ the number of new entrants at age 18 remain at 2007 level, otherwise no losses other than through death. Under the ‘Decline Model’ the number of new entrants at age 18 declines at a rate of 1% pa; above age 18 net leavers by age follow trends from the previous 8 years. Resource Strategy & Development Unit – National Church Institutions 4. Data and Strategy: Diocese of Manchester

5. This diagram again shows parishes according to their mission and financial strength but this time the size of each ‘bubble’ on the graph represents the parish’s average weekly attendance. This helps to identify the extent of a parish’s growth. 38% of attendees are in growing and financially strong parishes compared to 7% of attendees within declining and financially struggling parishes. 50% of attendees, attend growing churches. Mission and Finance Strength (Attendance): Manchester Resource Strategy & Development Unit – National Church Institutions 5.

6. What changes to resources & support to nurture our people, to enable growth in more parishes ? Finance Committee will be working closely with the Fit for Mission workstreams Diocesan Planning - request for Financial resources Budget implications

7. Income - assumptions Parish share No overall increase in total requested Total request is £8,635,000 Share system changes expected to increase amount collected Church Commissioners grant No change to formula for distribution in 2016, but will change from 2017 – full details not known, but assuming same level of grant in 2017 and 2018 at this stage Investment income No change on 2015 assumptions

8. Expenditure - assumptions Clergy No. stipendiary posts 219 Stipend increase + 1.5% Lay payroll DBF headcount 37 Pay increase + 1.5% Housing Budget per property is + 1.3% (number properties down due to sales)

9. Stipendiary clergy  Average of 219 stipendiary clergy in 2016

10. Ministerial Staffing Costs: 2016 cost of incumbent status minister: £ Stipend24,475 Employer’s National Insurance (inc effect of HLC)1,941 Pension Contribution9,511 Housing Costs 8,500 Direct training and support costs4,000 48,427 Budget 2016 - update

11. 20142015 201620172018 2016 BudgetActualForecastBudget Current Plan £'000£’000£'000 Incoming Resources Parish Share (net)7,3277,245 7,4007,500 Church Commissioners3,1003,069 3,064 Investments & Glebe9279461,0111,0461,086 Other (housing/fees/donations)1,6411,4531,5301,5501,5701,609 TOTAL INCOMING RESOURCES12,99512,71312,85513,06013,22013,259 Resources Expended Direct Ministry Costs8,9599,0589,0429,0769,0108,941 Mission Support Costs (Mission & Ministry, Synod, Stewardship, Education, DAC/DMPC, Property) 1,8001,9372,0402,0322,1142,166 Support Services (Finance, Glebe, Communications, Central Secretariat, Other) 1,063931890990 1,019 Mission Development256299 Pension deficit credits(313) Development funding 150 National Church577584 663 TOTAL RESOURCES EXPENDED12,34312,81012,85513,06013,22613,237 Surplus / (Deficit)652(97)00(6)22

12. What we spend – 2016 Budget Note *: in addition £100,000 in church building grants from restricted fund Resources Expended £000s % total spend Direct Ministry Costs9,076 69% Mission Support Costs (Mission & Ministry Support, Synod, Stewardship, Education, DAC/DMPC, Property) 2,032 16% Support Services (Finance, Communications, Glebe, Central Secretariat, Other) 990 8% Mission Development299 2% National Church663 5% TOTAL RESOURCES EXPENDED13,060

13. Budget  Ministerial Resource  Outcomes Direct ministry costs £7.8m Senior staff9 ½ Chaplains etc6 Curates27 Mission Support8 Parish posts 168 ½ 27,217 people worshipping & helping people in God’s presence Mission & outreach projects Vision & leadership Supporting Mission and Ministry in every parish 287 Houses 200 in use as parsonages Housing costs £1.3m

14. Budget  Resources  Outcomes Mission Support £2m Training staff Parish Support workers Ministry Support Education/youth workers Stewardship & gift aid officers DAC/DMPC Property Support Services £1m Financial /other planning People development & Comms IT and infrastructure Legal /Compliance Church House / HR /Comms Secretariat/Registrar Finance & IT Parish projects Clergy/property support Schools/youth work Mission Development £0.3m Mission Development Grants National Church £0.6m Training & supporting people 38 ALMs 27 Curates 13 Readers 53 Ordinands Mutual support

15. Discussion & Agreement Team Visiting 40 parishes in 2015 Meetings in October - December Team training 14 volunteers Standardised information Parish DataView reports Other available information

16. 2016 Parish Share Assessments SUMMARY BY DEANERY (as at 28 October 2015) DEANERYParishes20162015%age Bolton11730,777763,177-4.2% Bury15593,120615,816-3.7% Deane11599,446623,384-3.8% Radcliffe & Prestwich10370,767365,9411.3% Rossendale9185,175184,3180.5% Walmsley10478,725488,258-2.0% Ardwick11129,661120,5727.5% Heaton11258,179260,630-0.9% Hulme12533,933546,357-2.3% North Manchester14240,349229,1004.9% Stretford10339,410338,4800.3% Withington12486,012511,059-4.9% Ashton-under-Lyne15407,814397,1682.7% Heywood & Middleton13451,692456,808-1.1% Oldham West17581,214556,6174.4% Rochdale21459,100449,1562.2% Oldham East17726,604722,3850.6% Eccles16503,327492,7302.2% Salford12178,130172,9133.0% Leigh10330,686314,2865.2% Unallocated to deanery50,87925,84596.9% 2578,635,000 0.0%

17. The End

18. By 2045 only 7,800 people (AWA) to sustain resourcing of the church through giving – 2014 number is 16,046