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Published byBernard Randall Modified over 8 years ago
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Lammer Mark Fielding-Pritchard mefielding.com1
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What are we hedging? Don’t hedge pounds Receipt $490, payment $1640, net payment $1150 Write this, marks for matching and not hedging pounds mefielding.com2
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Forward Contract Payment $1150 Hedge for 5 months 3 month rate 1.9066, 12 month rate 1.8901 Therefore 1.65c over 9 months =.1833c per month or.37c in 2 months 1.9066-0.0037= 1.9029 1150000/1.9029= UKP604340 mefielding.com3
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Money Market Hedge Payment $1150 Put on deposit $s 2%x 5/12= 0.833% 1150/1.00833= $1141 Put on deposit $1141 Buy at 1.9156= UKP= $1141/1.9156 = UKP595.64 Assume we borrow pounds 5.5 x 5/12= 2.29 595.64 x 1.0229= UKP609.28 mefielding.com4
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Futures Payment $1150 Sell pounds December (1150000/1.8986)/62500= 10 On 1 June Sell 10 Decembers mefielding.com5
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Futures On 1 November buy back Base risk on 1 June 1.9156- 1.8986= 0.0170 That will have declined by 5/7, so basis risk = 0.0049 Spot on 1/11 = 1.9029 Therefore futures price = 1.9029 - 0.0049= 1.8980 mefielding.com6 Sold1.8986 Buy1.8980 Gain0.0006 0.06c x 62500 x 10$375 $1,150,000 - 375 at spot 1.90291155750/1.9029= UKP604142
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Options December Puts 1.88002.96c1.8504 1.90004.34c1.8566 1.92006.55c1.8545 mefielding.com7 ($1150/1.9000)31250= 19 Buy 19 December puts with a strike price of $1.90 Premium price 4.34c x 31250 x 19= $25769 @1.9156= UKP13452
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Options On 1 November spot = 1.9029 Therefore we won’t exercise (1150000/1.9029) + 13452= 617792 mefielding.com8
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Result UKP Forward604.34 MMH609.28 Future604.14 Option617.79 mefielding.com9
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Dollar Imports mefielding.com10 Difference from T0 YearExch Rate$4.200.110PV 01.91562192525 11.85982258300657760.90159257 21.805623260491335250.812108422 31.753023958312033060.731148617 41.702024677062751810.659181344 51.652425417373492120.593207083 704724
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c) Economic Exposure Economic exposure risk is the risk that positive NPV projects become negative due to currency fluctuations Here the dollar is strengthening so costs are increasing We can match projects so we have projects which generate funds in $s Swaps offer us the opportunity to fix medium term liabilities US Export Credit Guarantee Finance may be available if we are importing US goods mefielding.com11
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