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Published byClinton Carson Modified over 8 years ago
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MEASURING UNEMPLOYMENT WHAT EXACTLY DO THE NUMBERS MEAN?
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WHAT DOES THE UNEMPLOYMENT NUMBER MEAN? The unemployment rate measures the percentage of people who do not have jobs, who have actively looked for work in the preceding 4 weeks, and who are currently available for work. Discouraged workers, homemakers, the incarcerated, part-time who really want full-time, undocumented immigrants and soldiers aren’t counted.
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OTHER WAYS TO MEASURE U-1: Persons unemployed 15 weeks or longer, as a percent of the civilian labor force U-2: Job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs, as a percent of the civilian labor force U-3: Total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force (official unemployment rate, currently 7.5% 4/2013) U-4: Total unemployed plus discouraged workers, as a percent of the civilian labor force U-5: Total unemployed, plus discouraged workers, plus all other persons marginally attached to the labor force, as a percent of the civilian labor force
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OTHER WAYS TO MEASURE The U-6 number takes into consideration the discouraged and part-timers (underemployed). That number is currently 13.9% (April, 2013) The Employment-Population Ratio measures the percentage of Americans who are holding a job. The Unemployment rate surveys 60,000 households monthly. The Payroll numbers survey 150,000 businesses and government agencies. (Considered more accurate).
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OTHER WAYS TO MEASURE LABOR PARTICIPATION RATE EMPLOYMENT TO POPULATION
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ARE THESE CURRENT NUMBERS DEVASTATING? The highest unemployment level in the last recession was 10.2% which is lower than the peak of the early 80s recession, 10.8%. At the depths of the Great Depression unemployment hit 25% The real problem has been the duration of unemployment As of 4/2013, 37.4% have been jobless for > 27 weeks. Green = more than 15 weeks Blue = less than 15 weeks
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THE VALUE OF AN EDUCATION The unemployment rate for workers over 25 w/o college is 10% For those w/o a high school diploma, 15.5% For those with a 4-year degree, 4.8% 4-year college graduates made 54% more, on average, then people who didn’t finish college, in 2008.
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THE VALUE OF AN EDUCATION
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NO RECESSION FOR COLLEGE GRADS Even in the depths of the recession, when the national rate of unemployment topped 10%, the economy added 200,000 jobs for workers with bachelor’s degrees. Since the recovery began, 2 million more have been created Nearly 6 million jobs requiring a high school diploma or less have been lost since the downturn began. For recent graduates trying to work with only a high school diploma, nearly 24%. nearly 24%.
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