1. Lecture 4: “The War to End all Wars” April 5, 2010

2. Causes of WWI Power differentials Power differentials Imperial rivalries Imperial rivalries Nationalism Nationalism Alliances Alliances

4. How the war started Assassination Assassination Alliances Alliances German war strategy (Schlieffen Plan) German war strategy (Schlieffen Plan)

5. Results of the war Death and destruction Death and destruction

7. Results of the war Death and destruction Death and destruction Crisis of confidence in European “civilization” Crisis of confidence in European “civilization”

8. Results of the war Death and destruction Death and destruction Crisis of confidence in European “civilization” Crisis of confidence in European “civilization” End of empires End of empires

10. Results of the war Death and destruction Death and destruction Crisis of confidence in European “civilization” Crisis of confidence in European “civilization” End of empires End of empires Ascendance of America Ascendance of America

11. Relative Share of World Manufacturing Output, 1900-38 1900191319281938 Britain18.513.69.910.7 US23.632.039.331.4 Germany13.214.811.612.7 France6.86.16.04.4 Russia8.88.25.39.0 Austria- Hungary 4.74.4-- Italy2.52.42.72.8

12. How to fix the world End militarism and autocracy End militarism and autocracy Punish and disarm Germany Punish and disarm Germany Self-determination Self-determination

14. Problems with Self-Determination Who’s a nation? Who’s a nation? Mixed demography Mixed demography Threatened more instability Threatened more instability Weak barriers to German (and Russian) expansion Weak barriers to German (and Russian) expansion Most new states not ready Most new states not ready

15. How to fix the world End militarism and autocracy End militarism and autocracy Punish and disarm Germany Punish and disarm Germany Self-determination Self-determination 14 Points 14 Points

16. (some of) Wilson’s 14 Points I. Open covenants of peace, openly arrived at, after which there shall be no private international understandings of any kind but diplomacy shall proceed always frankly and in the public view. III. The removal, so far as possible, of all economic barriers and the establishment of an equality of trade conditions among all the nations consenting to the peace and associating themselves for its maintenance. XIV. A general association of nations must be formed under specific covenants for the purpose of affording mutual guarantees of political independence and territorial integrity to great and small states alike

17. Kellogg-Briand Pact, 1928 The High Contracting Parties…condemn recourse to war for the solution of international controversies, and renounce it, as an instrument of national policy in their relations with one another…The High Contracting Parties agree that the settlement or solution of all disputes or conflicts of whatever nature or of whatever origin they may be, which may arise among them, shall never be sought except by pacific means. The High Contracting Parties…condemn recourse to war for the solution of international controversies, and renounce it, as an instrument of national policy in their relations with one another…The High Contracting Parties agree that the settlement or solution of all disputes or conflicts of whatever nature or of whatever origin they may be, which may arise among them, shall never be sought except by pacific means.

18. Why it didn’t work US isolationism US isolationism Diverging US and European Interests Diverging US and European Interests