1. Causal analysis Conflict, gender, HRBA, MDGs

2. This session Framework; next…  Methodology: causal analysis (conflict, HRBA, gender, etc.) Identifications of issues Applying the methodology – Corruption Group case studies for CCA Tomorrow: causal & gaps – group work Conclusion

3. Methodology Causal, conflict, gender, HRBA, MDGs analysis: Identify the problems/issues Understand WHY the problems are occurring: causes Rank the causes (immediate, structural) Make linkages across problems & causes Assess on-going responses & gaps Identify action to address problem In the context of a CCA the causal analysis complemented by: – role analysis - who must do something about it – analysis of what capacities are needed to take action – analysis of UN comparative advantages

4. The conflict, gender, HRBA, MDG lens Look at the identified problems thinking: Has has the issue contributed to creating national/local level conflict or to undermining peace consolidation? How? Are women particularly affected? also look at: The impact of conflict on the situation? On the relevant MDGs?

5. Causal tree with a conflict, gender, HRB lens Conflict over access to power; W marginalised Inst. not evolved into political democracy Weak civil society Traditional structures Non transparent power sharing mechanisms People, esp. women not empowered to participate Problem Immediate causes Structural causes

6. Using a conflict, gender, etc. lens Identify: actions that, whilst addressing the identified sector problem, will contribute to reducing conflict risks (e.g. conflict sensitive actions) & key stakeholders Guide in assessing: If & how on-going responses are addressing the problem & related causes (inc. linkages to conflict), & the gaps

7. A critical last question Thinking about actions, ask: What, where, how can action produce the greatest transformation & results in terms of addressing the structural & immediate state & peace building challenges?