1. LMR F C Lower MississippiRiver Forecast Center January 6, 2016 Talking Points- Mississippi River Forecasts (Page 1 of 3) The Mississippi River crest is between Caruthersville, MO and Osceola, AR. www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc

2. The USACE Lakes and Rivers Division (LRD) continues to regulate flows for minimum releases from Barkley and Kentucky Dams. As the river level at Cairo falls, discharges will start to increase to recover storage in each of the reservoirs. At the confluence of the Mississippi and the Ohio River, the Ohio River at Cairo, IL, is falling but remains above major flood stage at midday January 6, 2016 LMR F C January 6, 2016 Talking Points- Mississippi River Forecasts (Page 2 of 3) www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc

3. Crest heights on the Atchafalaya have been lowered based on early indications that diverted flows at Old River Structure are going into storage The crests for Reserve and New Orleans remain the same. Crest predictions for these locations are January 12. Predictions are still showing the timeframe of January 9 as the day the river will reach the 1.25 million cfs threshold at the New Orleans Carrollton gauge triggering the decision to open the Bonnet Carre spillway. LMR F C January 6, 2016 Talking Points- Mississippi River Forecasts (Page 3 of 3) www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc

4. LMR F C Lower MississippiRiver Forecast Center January 6, 2016 Talking Points- Red River Forecasts The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers will continue to regulate reservoirs upstream of Shreveport to maintain 100,000 cfs of flow at the Fulton, AR gauge This is the third high water event for the Red River in 2015 LocationFlood of RecordMay 2015 Record RainfallTropical Storm Bill 2015Crest Dec 2015-Jan 2016 Event Shreveport45.90 (Aug 10 1849)37.14 Major (Jun 9)31.05 Minor (Jun 30)Crested at 31.5 (Moderate) Coushatta39.90 (Apr 7 1945)38.83 Major (Jun 11) *3 rd highest on record and highest in recent history Crested at 33 ft (Moderate) Grand Ecore44.70 (Apr 10 1945)42.03 (Jun 13) * Second highest crest on record and highest in recent history At Crest Alexandria45.23 (Apr 17 1945)36.10 (Jun 16)30 (Action) The river level at Shreveport is falling but will remain above the action stage of 26 feet through the 5 day forecast period The river at Grand Ecore continues on its broad crest around 34.7 ft. The river will remain above the minor flood stage of 31 feet through the 5 day forecast period The river level at Coushatta is falling but will remain above the minor flood stage of 31 feet through the 5 day forecast period The river at Alexandria continues to rise to a predicted crest of 30 feet which is above the action stage of 28 feet but 2 feet below minor flood stage www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc

5. Forecasts For Mainstem of Red River In Louisiana Issued The Morning Of Jan 6, 2016 SiteJan 6 Stage 10A Forecast Crest DateFlood Category Index13.57 Fulton19.49 Shreveport29.96Crested Coushatta32.58Crested Grand Ecore34.7At CrestMinor Alexandria29.8130Jan 7Action Index Fulton Dekalb- Pecan Point Coushatta Grand Ecore Shreveport Alexandria Grand Ecore: Impacts 33 ft = Minor flooding of lowlands in the Red River floodplain between levees take place Alexandria: Impacts 28 ft = Overflow occurs on floodway side of levee from gauge to Acme. Recreational boaters should use extreme caution due to high river flows. www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc NWS Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center

6. Mississippi Mainstem and Atchafalaya Forecast for Jan 5, 2016 www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc

7. NameFSModMajFlood of Record Date2011Jan 5,2016 Forecast Forecast Midday Jan 6, 2016 11A Jan 4 Status CrestDateCrestDate11A StageCrestDate St Louis30353049.588/1/199334.931-May30.38Just above minor flood stage and falling Chester 27354049.748/7/199339.742-May36.83Above minor flood stage and falling Paducah39435260.62/2/193755.035-May44.85Cresting Cape Girardeau32374248.4908/08/9346.33-May41.6Above Moderate flood stage and falling Thebes33374245.9105/23/9145.53-May40.68Above Moderate flood stage and falling Cairo40475361.7205/02/1161.72-May55.17Above major flood stage and falling New Madrid34404448.3505/06/1148.46-May42.45Above Moderate flood stage and falling Tiptonville37454748.3505/05/1148.45-May43.63Above minor flood stage and falling Caruthersville32414347.6105/07/1147.67-May42.46Crested Osceola28313550.9002/07/193747.488-May40Jan 639.55Near Crest Memphis34404648.702/10/374810-May40.5Jan 836.7740.5Jan 8 Tunica41465258.455/10/201158.4510-May51Jan 949.9551Jan 9 Helena44505560.202/12/3756.612-May49Jan 1046.0649Jan 10 Arkansas City37404459.204/21/2753.116-May45.5Jan 1241.4345.5Jan 12 Greenville48525765.404/21/2764.216-May57.5Jan 1352.9557.5Jan 13 Vicksburg43465057.105/19/1157.119-May52.5Jan 1545.45 (E)52.5Jan 15 Natchez48515761.9505/19/116219-May59Jan 1751.1959Jan 17 Red River Landing 48556463.405/18/1163.418-May62.5Jan 1853.9562.5Jan 18 Baton Rouge35384047.2805/15/274518-May44Jan 1836.7144Jan 18 Donaldsonville27303436.0105/15/2732.518-May32Jan 2026.532Jan 20 Reserve222426 06/11/292418-May24Jan 1220.4324Jan 12 New Orleans17192021.2704/25/2217.319-May17Jan 1214.517Jan 12 www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc Forecasts For Mainstem of Mississippi and Lower Ohio Issued The Morning Of Jan 6, 2016

8. Impacts for Mississippi River at Red River Landing From NWS Weather Forecast Office New Orleans Web Page (www. srh.noaa.gov/lix) Red River Landing : 11A Jan 6 River Stage = 53.95 Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Morning Forecast: Crest of 62.5 Feet On Jan 18 51 feet = All river islands along the reach from Red River Landing to Baton Rouge will be inundated. Recreational camps and river bottom farm land will be under water 54 Feet = All river islands along the reach from Red River Landing to Baton Rouge will be inundated. Recreational camps and river bottom land will be under water. Water approaches Angola farm land 58 Feet = Angola farmland on the left bank becomes inundated (Jan 6 forecast has a stage of 58.4 feet on Jan 11) 59 Feet = The east bank levee will be topped and the prison farm land between the two levees will be inundated. Angola Landing will be under water closing the ferry there. All river islands along the reach from Red River Landing to Baton Rouge will remain inundated with recreational camps and river bottom farm land under water 61.61 Feet = Flood of March 24, 1997 62 Feet = Angola Landing will remain under water and all ferry service will be terminated. All river islands along the reach from Red River Landing to Baton Rouge will remain inundated with recreational camps and river bottom farm land under water 63.39 Feet = Flood of Record occurred on May 18, 2011 www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc NWS Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center

9. Impacts for Mississippi River at Baton Rouge From NWS Weather Forecast Office New Orleans Web Page (www. srh.noaa.gov/lix) Baton Rouge : 10A Jan 6 River Stage = 36.71 Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Morning Forecast: Crest of 44 Feet On Jan 18 35 Feet = River islands from Red River Landing downstream to Baton Rouge will be inundated 36 Feet = River traffic and industrial activity on the river side of the levees will be greatly affected. Navigational safety regulations will be strictly enforced 40 Feet= The grounds of the older part of Louisiana State University's campus become soggy. This includes the area around the Veterinary Medicine building, the Veterinary Medicine Annex, the stadium and ball fields. The city of Baton Rouge and the main LSU campus are protected by levees at this level. (Jan 6 forecast has a stage of 40.3 feet on Jan 11) 43 Feet= Shipping and industrial activities are significantly affected. Unprotected low-lying areas will be flooded and agricultural operations will be impacted on the west side of the river. The city of Baton Rouge is protected by levees at this level. 47.28 Feet= This is the flood of record established on May 15, 1927 www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc NWS Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center

10. Impacts for Mississippi River at Donaldsonville, Reserve, and New Orleans From NWS Weather Forecast Office New Orleans Web Page (www. srh.noaa.gov/lix) Donaldsonville : 11A Jan 6 River Stage = 26.5 Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Morning Forecast: Crest of 32 Feet On Jan 18 27 Feet =Navigation becomes difficult for smaller river craft. Safety precautions for river traffic are urged (Jan 6 forecast has a stage of 27.2 feet on Jan 7 with a stage of 29.3 on Jan 11) 33 Feet =River barge traffic becomes dangerous, particularly when navigating sharp turns on this stretch of the river Reserve : 11A Jan 6 River Stage = 20.43 Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Morning Forecast: Crest of 24 Feet On Jan 12 22 Feet = Marine and industrial interests along the river, upstream barge operators, and facilities are impacted. Navigation will become difficult for smaller river craft. Safety precautions for river traffic are urged (Jan 6 forecast has a stage of 22.5 feet on Jan 9) New Orleans : 11A Jan 6 River Stage = 14.5 Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Morning Forecast: Crest of 17 Feet On Jan 12 13 Feet = Strong eddies will develop below the gage at Carrollton, with increased negative impacts on navigation. 17 Feet = The river level will continue making navigation and docking difficult. The city is protected to a project height of 20 feet (Jan 6 forecast has a stage of 16.7 feet on Jan 12) www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc NWS Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center

11. NameFSModMajFlood of Record Date2011Jan 6 Midday Forecast CrestDate11A Jan 6 StageCrestDate Jonesville –Black R50526064.505/3/192749.226-May43.4 (E)51.5Jan 20 Acme – Black R48525862.705/17/192747.7526-May41.9350Jan 18 Simmesport47506059.135/16/192744.9324-May33.6544Jan 18 Melville34455046.985/14/192735.6924-May26.0235Jan 18 Krotz Springs29404338.505/15/19273225-May23.0831Jan 19 Butte La Rose20252827.285/23/197323.1526-May16.3222.5Jan 19 Myette Point15202617.805/24/197315.5828-May9.5414Jan 21 Morgan City671210.535/28/19735.58.5Jan 23 www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc NWS Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center ** Corrected at 1534 Jan 6

12. Impacts for Black River at Jonesville and Acme From NWS Weather Forecast Office Lake Charles Web Page (www.srh.noaa.gov/lch) Jonesville : 11A Jan 6 River Stage = 43.4 (Estimated) Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Noon Forecast Update: Crest of 51.5 Feet On Jan 20 (Minor) 39.5 Feet: Locking operations ceases at the lock and dam 40 Feet: Access Road to lock begins to flood on the riverside of levee 42 Feet: Water begins to top the lock (Jan 6 forecast has backwater rising to 45.5 feet on Jan 11) 50 Feet: Highway 124 south near the town of Larto starts to flood. Backwater flooding begins in unprotected areas on right bank 51.4 Feet: The Columbia Recreation Area is inaccessible 52 Feet: Backwater flooding on right bank threatens residences 52.7 Feet: The Fort Necessity Recreation Area is inaccessible Acme : 11A Jan 6 River Stage = 41.93 Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Morning Forecast: Crest of 50 Feet On Jan 18 (Minor) 49 Feet: Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the river 50.5 Feet: The community of Brouillette is inundated. 52 Feet: Widespread lowland flooding is occurring. Evacuation of livestock and equipment is recommended. www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc NWS Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center ** Corrected at 1534 Jan 6

13. Impacts for Atchafalaya River at Simmesport and Melville From NWS Weather Forecast Office Lake Charles Web Page (www.srh.noaa.gov/lch) Simmesport : 11A Jan 6 River Stage = 33.65 Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Midday Forecast : Crest of 44 Feet On Jan 18 (46 Feet Is Action Stage) 35 Feet: Backwater flooding of unprotected areas above Simmesport will begin (Jan 6 forecast has a stage of 35 feet on Jan 7 with a stage of 38.8 on Jan 11) 40 Feet: There will be flooding of areas outside the levees in the Atchafalaya floodway 43 Feet: The river stage is at the natural ground elevation of areas protected by the levee system Melville : 11A Jan 6 River Stage = 26.02 Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Midday Forecast: Crest of 35 Feet On Jan 18 25 Feet = Flooding will begin on the river side of the Atchafalaya river levee and the Melville ring levee which protect the city to a river stage of about 50 feet 30 Feet = Increased current in the Atchafalaya main channel will cause minor navigation problems for large craft, but hazardous conditions for smaller river craft. The average elevation within the protection of the Melville ring levee is 31 feet. (Jan 6 forecast has a stage of 30 feet on Jan 10 with a stage of 30.9 on Jan 11) 33 Feet= Action Stage 34 Feet = Lowest structures on the unprotected side of the levee begin to flood. Flooding is more extensive just south of Melville 36 Feet = Flooding of structures on the unprotected side of the levee begins along Trestle Street and River Bank Road in Melville www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc NWS Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center ** Corrected at 1534 Jan 6

14. Impacts for Atchafalaya River at Krotz Springs and Butte La Rose From NWS Weather Forecast Office Lake Charles Web Page (www.srh.noaa.gov/lch) Krotz Springs : 11A Jan 6 River Stage = 23.08 Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Midday Forecast: Crest of 31 Feet On Jan 19 28 Feet= Action Stage 29 Feet= Flooding of structures on the unprotected side of the levee along the river begins. This includes areas near the Atchafalaya Campground south of Krotz Springs and River View Subdivision north of Krotz Springs Butte La Rose : 10A Jan 6 River Stage = 16.32 Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Midday Forecast: Crest of 22.5 Feet On Jan 19 17 Feet= Action Stage (Jan 6 forecast has a stage of 17 feet on Jan 7 with a stage of 19.4 on Jan 11) 20 Feet= Minor Flooding Begins 22 Feet = River traffic negotiating sharp turns will become difficult. Industrial equipment will be threatened and should be relocated to avoid damage. www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc NWS Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center** Corrected at 1534 Jan 6

15. Impacts for Atchafalaya River at Myette Point/Grand Lake and Morgan City From NWS Weather Forecast Office Lake Charles Web Page (www.srh.noaa.gov/lch) Myette Point/Grand Lake : 11A Jan 6 River Stage = 9.54 Feet Jan 6 LMRFC Midday Forecast: Crest of 14 Feet On Jan 21 15 Feet = Although on the floodway side of the protection levee, flooding of the batture will impede small craft launching. Navigation precautions are recommended. Morgan City : 11A Jan 6 River Stage = 5.5 Feet (Above Action Stage) Jan 6 LMRFC Midday Forecast: Crest of 8.5 Feet On Jan 23 4 Feet= Action stage. Water will move up the bank and across access roads below the city dock. Floodwall gates should be closed by the 5 foot stage to protect against higher stages. Vessel traffic will be affected by stronger river current and vessel traffic safety rules will be strictly enforced by the U.S. Coast Guard. 5 Feet= Floodwall gates will be closed to protect against higher stages. Vessel traffic will be affected by stronger river current and vessel traffic safety rules will be strictly enforced by the U.S. Coast Guard 6 Feet = Flood stage. The city dock will be under water. Water will cover the lower end of Belleview Front Street in Berwick. Vessel traffic will be affected by stronger river current and vessel traffic safety rules will be strictly enforced by the U.S. Coast Guard (Jan 6 forecast has a stage of 6 feet on Jan 8) 7 Feet= Buildings at the foot of Ann Street on the river side of the flood wall will flood as water overtops the Rio Oil Company dock. Buildings on the river side of the Berwick floodwall will flood. River traffic restrictions will be strictly enforced. www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc NWS Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center** Corrected at 1534 Jan 6

16. Supplemental Slides for Crest Timing on All Lower Mississippi and Atchafalaya Tributaries

17. Missouri River St Charles, MO (SCLM7) Hermann, MO (HRNM7 St Louis, MO (EADM7) Above moderate flood stage and falling Kaskaskia River Chester, IL (CHSI2) Above Major flood stage and falling Thebes, IL (TIBI2) Above Major flood stage and falling Ohio River Duck River Elk River Wabash River Cumberland River Smithland, IL (SMLI2) Cresting above Minor flood stage Paducah, KY (PAHK2) Cresting above Moderate flood stage Cairo, IL (CIRI2) Above Major flood stage and falling New Madrid, MO (NMDM7) Above Moderate flood stage and falling Cape Girardeau, MO (CPGM7) Above Major flood stage and falling Caruthersville, MO (CRTM7) Crested above Moderate and falling Hatchie River Osceola (OSGA4) Near crest 39.6 (Major) Tiptonville (TPTT1) Above Minor flood stage and falling Memphis (MEMT1) Crest: 40.5 (Moderate) Jan 8 Helena (HEEA4) Crest: 49 (Minor) (50= Moderate Flood Stage) Jan 10 Big Muddy River Kentucky Dam Barkley Dam Connecting Channel Text Reflects Jan 6, 2016 Morning Forecast Cycle St Francis River (Backwater Effects from Mississippi ) Tennessee River Lake City, AR (LCRA4) Will remain above minor flood stage (10) through Jan 11 Madison, AR (MSNA4) Crest: 33.5 (Minor) Jan 10

18. St Francis River (Backwater Effects from Mississippi ) Black River Arkansas River White River Greenville (GEEM6) Crest: 57.5 (Major) Jan 13 Arkansas City (ARSA4) Crest: 45.5 (Major) Jan 12 Yazoo City (YZOM6) (Backwater from Mississippi) Crest: 34.5 ( Flood Stg=29ft) Jan 18 Belzoni (BELM6) Greenwood (GREM6) Clarendon (CLDA4) Near Crest (Mod) Des Arc (DSCA4) Above Major flood stage and falling Georgetown (GEOA4) Above moderate flood stage and falling Augusta (AUGA4) Above minor flood stage and falling Newport (NPTA4) Above minor flood stage and falling Batesville (BAGA4) Calico Rock (CLRA4) Bull Shoals Dam Table Rock Dam Beaver Dam Pine Bluff (PBFA4) Above action stage and continuing to fall Big Black River Vicksburg (VCKM6) Crest: 52.5 (Major) Jan 15 Natchez (NTZM6) Crest: 59 (Major) Jan 17 Red River Landing (RRRL1) Crest: 62.5 (Moderate) Jan 18 Baton Rouge (BTRL1) Crest: 44 (Major) Jan 18 Donaldsonville (DONL1) Crest: 32 (Moderate) Jan 20 Reserve (RRVL1) Crest: 24 (Moderate) Jan 12 New Orleans (NORL1) Crest: 17 (Flood Stage) Jan 12 Outflow Channel Lower Old River Little Rock (LITA4) Yazoo River Bovina (BOVM6) Bentonia (BTAM6) West (WSTM6) Atchafalaya And Its Contributing River Systems (Red, Saline, Ouachita, Black, and Tensas) Text Reflects Jan 6, 2016 Morning Forecast Cycle Van Buren (VBUA4) Ozark L&D Tailwater (OZGA4) Dardanelle (DARA4) Morrilton (MORA4) Above action stage and continuing to fall Toad Suck L&D Tailwater (TODA4) Pendleton Ferry (PFAA4) Crested. Above action stage and falling Memphis (MEMT1) Crest: 40.2 (Moderate) Jan 8 Helena (HEEA4) Crest: 49 (Minor) (50= Moderate Flood Stage) Jan 10 Lake City, AR (LCRA4) Will remain above minor flood stage (10) through Jan 11 Madison, AR (MSNA4) Crest: 33.5 (Minor) Jan 10

19. Lower Old River Alexandria (AEXL1) Crest: 30 (Action) Jan 7 Shreveport (SVPL1) Above action stage and falling Fulton (FLTA4) Little River Red River Coushatta (CSHL1) Above minor flood stage and falling Saline River Monroe (MLUL1) Crest: 35 (Below Action Stage) Jan 13 Felsenthal (FELA4) Crest: 75 (Minor) Jan 11 Thatcher L&D (CALA4) Will remain above minor flood stage Camden (CAMA4) Will remain above minor flood stage Arkadelphia (AKDA4) Benton (BTNA4) Rye (RYEA4) Crest 25 ft (Action Stage) Jan 4 Outflow Channel (Diversion from Miss. River to Atchafalaya ) River Basins Affecting Atchafalaya Melville (MLVL1) Crest: 35 (Above Flood Stage) Jan 18 Simmesport (SMML1) Crest: 44 (Below Action) Jan 18 Krotz Springs (KRZL1) Crest: 31 (Above Flood Stage) Morning Jan 19 Butte La Rose (BLRL1) Crest: 22.5 (Above Flood Stage) Jan 19 Bayou Sorel Lock (BSRL1) Morgan City (MCGL1) Crest: 8.5 (Moderate) Jan 23 Myette Point/Grand Lake (GNDL1) Crest: 14 (Below Flood Stage) Jan 21 Atchafalaya River Newlight (NLGL1) Crest: 52.5 (Below Action) Jan 20 Tendal (TDGL1) Jonesville (JNEL1) Crest 51.5 (Minor) Jan 20 Acme (ACML1) Crest 50 (Minor) Jan 18 Clayton (CYNL1) Crest: 52.5 (Below Action) Jan 20 Index (INGA4) Tensas River Black River Grand Ecore (GREL1) At crest (Minor Flood Stage) Mississippi River Text Reflects Jan 6, 2016 Midday Forecast Cycle Natchez (NTZM6) Crest: 59 (Major) Jan 17 Red River Landing (RRRL1) Crest: 62.5 (Moderate) Jan 18 Baton Rouge (BTRL1) Crest: 44 (Major) Jan 18