1. COMPLEX SYSTEM FOR IMPLEMENTATION MATURITY AND COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT OF INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGIES ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), 28.09.2012 Authors: Adam Mazurkiewicz, Beata Belina, Beata Poteralska Presenter: Ludmiła Łopacińska INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGIES – NATIONAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE (ITeE-PIB)

2. Presentation plan Complex technology assessment system – assumptions Method of the assessment of implementation maturity level Method of the assessment of commercial potential Practical application of the assessment methods

3. Assesment of implementaion maturity level Assesment of commercial potential Assesment of innovativeness level Level 6 Product operation IDENTIFICATION Level 2 Level 6 SOLUTION CONCEPTION CONFIRMATION OF THE SOLUTION MODEL – laboratory environment MODEL – simulation of operating environment PROTOTYPE – conditions resembling real operating environment PROTOYPE – real environment FINAL PRODUCT TRIAL VERSION Manufacture preparation Level 10 Level 9 Level 2 Complex system of technology assessment Level 10

4. ASSESSMENT OF COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL [t] Start of solution development End of solution development Changes of assessment levels INNOVATIVENESS ASSESSMENT [t] Start of solution development End of solution development ASSESSMENT OF IMPLEMENTATION MATURITY LEVEL [t] Start of solution development End of solution development

5. Assessment of implementation maturity level Qualification for detailed assessment according to given criteria Categories: machines and devices, software and computer systems, manufacturing technologies, materials and chemical agents GENERAL ALGORITHM of implementation maturity assessment DETAILED ALGORITHM of implementation maturity assessment Stage Product Stage Product General assessment algorithm Detailed assessment algorithm Prod ukty Products Qualification for detailed assessment according to given criteria

6. Levels and milestones in the development process of innovative solution Basic principles identified and described Technology concept formulated 2 Analytical and experimental critical function and characteristic proof-of-concept 3 Prototype demonstration and validation in relevant environment 6 Component and model validation in laboratory environment 4 Model validation in relevant environment 5 Prototype demonstration and verification in an operational environment 7 Final product version made 8 Product samples produced and certified 9 Final product preparation to commercialisation 10 1 Idea Prototype Verification Transfer Stage II Prototype demonstration and validation in relevant environment

7. Detailed maturity level assessment – qualification criteria for Level 6 Level 6 Prototype demonstration and validation in relevant environment Design and production of the prototype Prototype tested in relevant environment No.Criterion Criterion coefficient Criterion fulfillment 1All project costs identified 2Final completion plan of the project developed 3Quality and reliability levels for components determined 4Program of final tests and evaluation developed 5Technology management program developed 6 Conditions of contract for technology transfer and implementation aproved by client 30Software in „alfa” version developed 31 Functionality requirements of application in full scale for developed software fulfilled... 13Prototype of full functional parameters made 14Prototype tested in revelant enviroment...

8. Example – assessment of implementation maturity level of a solution developed within R&D project System for quality control of metal products by means of the optical inspection method, for the use in a production line Bearing roller Examples of faults of bearing rollers System implemented in a factory manufacturing roller bearings High advancement level of solution development at the stage of idea Validation of laboratory model Validation of experimental model Building and initial validation of product prototype Validation of product prototype Making the final version of the product Final product preparation to commercialisation Innovative solution obtained level 10 of development advancement - Level of Transfer

9. Example – assessment of implementation maturity level of an innovative solution developed within the Strategic Programme „Innovative Systems of Technical Support for Sustainable Development of Economy” Technological line for implementation of RFID inlets Innovative solution obtained level 7 of development advancement - Level of Prototype Validation of laboratory model Achieved level of Prototype High advancement level of solution development at the stage of idea Final product in the course of preparation

10. Stages of the technology assessment system

11. Assessment of commercial potential Detailed assessment algorithm Products General assessment algorithm Products Assessment of technologies competitiveness Economic assessment … General assessment algorithm Detailed assessment algorithm assessment of potential market demand geographical scope market-legal requirements scale of the market types of consumers AREAS OF THE ASSESSMENT OF COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL Technological area Economic areaMarket area Legal- organisational area Uniqueness on a national scale Innovativeness level Functionality level Technological level Level of ecological threat … Cost- effectiveness of production Maintenance costs Costs of intelectual property protection Costs of maintaining the market … Level of market demand Potential beneficiaries Scale of applications in economy … Level of intellectual property rights protection Possibility of imitation by others Dependence of implementation on changes in legal regulations Strategy of introducing solutions on the market

12. Dependences between technological assessments No Implementation maturity InnovativenessCommercial potential Possibility of saleComments 1HHHHigh There is interest in the solution that is innovative and ready for implementation 2HHLLow Changes of legal rules 3HHLHigh Unitary solution developed for a definite enterprise 4HLLLow Lack of interest in a solution on the market 5HLLHigh Unitary solution developed for a definite enterprise 6HLHHigh Demand for a solution even if it is not innovative 7LHHHigh Demand for a solution on the market 8LLLLow Lack of interest in a solution on the market 9LLHLow Demand for a solution, even if it is not ready for implementation 10LHLLow Lack of interest in a solution on the market Stand for testing sleeping surfaces Test chambers for volatile organic compounds emission testing

13. Conclusions Ocena SDW wynik – przynajmniej poziom8 Ocena potencjału komercyjnego wynik – znaczący lub umiarkowany potencjał komercyjny wynik przynajmniej 8 Ocena poziomu innowacyjności wynik – ???? wynik przynajmniej 8 System oceny technologii The proposed system can be used for complex assessement of technological solutions in the aspect of implementation maturity, commercial potential and innovativeness level The system can be used for complex assessment of a particular technological solution or assessment of a selected aspect (by means of a selected method) The assessment can be carried out at all stages of technological solutions development starting from the idea creation to technology trasfer