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NPC Study on Prudent Development of North American Oil and Gas Resources Resources and Supply Task Group - Framing Questions Oil & Gas Resources: What is the scope of technically recoverable conventional and unconventional oil and gas resources available in the U.S. and Canada, according to most recent estimates? Productive Capacity: How much of these oil and gas resources can be translated into productive capacity by 2050 under reasonable technical and economic assumptions? What are the main drivers or assumptions behind existing NA oil and gas supply projections? What factors could significantly increase or decrease the productive potential of these resources (e.g., geology, geography, access, technology, non-environmental regulation, etc.)? What could be the particular contribution of each of the major types of oil and gas resource considered in this study and what specific development challenges may they face? Infrastructure to Market: How will sufficient infrastructure (gathering systems, gas processing plants, crude oil, gas pipelines, and gas storage) be developed to link these resources to the market?
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NPC Study on Prudent Development of North American Oil and Gas Resources Resources and Supply Task Group Sub-Group – Resource Endowment – Mission definition Define the resource base as the technically recoverable identified oil and gas in the US and Canada Categorise the resource base in terms of reserves, discovered, yet to find, conventional, unconventional etc. Consider the role of resource/reserve growth Describe the history of resource assessments over time and explain how and why they can change Compare remaining recoverable resources with production to date Outline hierarchy of cost, technical requirements, remoteness or other factors, which may influence the order of development Refer to recent US and Canadian oil and gas resource assessment studies, from available sources (government, private sector, academic…) Produce comprehensive topic paper covering these issues
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NPC Study on Prudent Development of North American Oil and Gas Resources Resources and Supply Task Group Sub-Group – Data and Study analysis – Mission definition Inventory available recent studies (~ last 3 years) on US and Canadian oil and gas supply Document forecasts, their assumptions and the main drivers of difference Establish a credible range of outlooks for NA oil and gas production and highlight the factors which could lead to production at the high or low end of that range Identify the key uncertainties in the outlooks and propose ways of reducing the uncertainty, either through further research or through specific policy or industry actions Provide supply data to the demand TG and the Fuels study, to calibrate supply potential with market needs Produce comprehensive topic paper covering these issues
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NPC Study on Prudent Development of North American Oil and Gas Resources Resources and Supply Task Group Sub-Groups – (Components of oil and gas supply) * – Mission definition Describe the resource, production history and development status of the areas covered by the sub group Describe any recent studies on the potential supply outlook for the component of supply covered by the sub-group Refer to any regulatory, access, infrastructure or environmental challenges associated with resource development for the component covered by the sub group Describe the key current and emerging technologies which will enable development of productive capacity Analyse the main drivers which would either facilitate or constrain development of resources for the component covered by the subgroup Produce comprehensive topic paper covering these issues * Arctic, offshore oil and gas, onshore gas, onshore oil and EOR, unconventional oil
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NPC Study on Prudent Development of North American Oil and Gas Resources Resources and Supply Task Group Sub-Groups – (Infrastructure) * – Mission definition Describe current (oil/gas) infrastructure in terms of capacities, supply regions and markets served, indicative utilisation Assess need for expanded infrastructure to serve new supply sources or growth of existing supply sources How could appropriate levels of infrastucture development be facilitated? Are there any significant barriers to new oil and gas infrastructure and how could they be alleviated? Produce comprehensive topic paper covering these issues * Gas infrastructure (gathering, storage, processing, pipelines), crude oil pipelines
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