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SESSION 2: INTRINSIC VALUATION LAYING THE FOUNDATION Aswath Damodaran ‹#› Aswath Damodaran 1
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2 The Building Blocks for Value Aswath Damodaran 2
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3 The essence of intrinsic value In intrinsic valuation, you value an asset based upon its fundamentals. Those fundamentals are cash flows, growth and risk. Discounted cash flow valuation is a tool for estimating intrinsic value. Aswath Damodaran 3
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4 The two faces of discounted cash flow valuation Discount expected cash flows at a risk adjusted discount rate: Discount certainty equivalent cash flows at a risk free rate. Aswath Damodaran 4
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5 Risk Adjusted Value: Two Basic Propositions Proposition 1: If your asset is never expected to generate positive cash flows, it cannot have positive value. Proposition 2: Assets that generate cash flows early in their life will be worth more than assets that generate cash flows later. Proposition 3: Assets with negative cash flows up front can still be worth a lot if they have disproportionately large positive cash flows later. Aswath Damodaran 5
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6 DCF Choices: Equity Valuation versus Firm Valuation Equity valuation: Value just the equity claim in the business Firm Valuation: Value the entire business Aswath Damodaran 6
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7 Equity Valuation Aswath Damodaran 7
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8 Firm Valuation Aswath Damodaran 8
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9 Generic DCF Valuation Model Aswath Damodaran 9
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10 First Principle of Valuation Consistency principle: Your discount rate should match up to your cash flows. The key error to avoid is mismatching cashflows and discount rates: Discounting cash flows to equity at the weighted average cost of capital will lead to an upwardly biased estimate of the value of equity Discounting cash flows to the firm at the cost of equity will yield a downward biased estimate of the value of the firm. Aswath Damodaran 10
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